• The Orioles are -135 favorites vs the Padres
• Padres vs Orioles Over / Under today: 10 Runs
• Padres / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | PDTV

The San Diego Padres (+110) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-135) on June 14, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Padres are 36-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 35-37 ATS.

Padres vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

• Padres starting pitcher: Walker Buehler 3-3, 4.36 ERA
• Orioles starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers 3-6, 6.19 ERA

Padres vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Padres vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

• Freddy Fermin has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+30.00 Units / 500% ROI)
• Freddy Fermin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.75 Units / 50% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.60 Units / 47% ROI)
• Freddy Fermin has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.40 Units / 52% ROI)
• Freddy Fermin has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.25 Units / 51% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Adley Rutschman has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+13.60 Units / 68% ROI)
• Colton Cowser has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+13.10 Units / 164% ROI)
• Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.00 Units / 30% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.40 Units / 28% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+10.55 Units / 117% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.95 Units / 24% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 89% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 away games (+4.65 Units / 14% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 away games (+4.15 Units / 38% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 20 away games (+2.90 Units / 11% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+11.35 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+11.25 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.30 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+7.15 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.85 Units / 26% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 35-32 against the Run Line (-1.3 Units / -1.41% ROI).

• 36-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units / -0.18% ROI
• 31-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.65 Units / -11.33% ROI
• 36-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.15 Units / 2.84% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 35-37 against the Run Line (-3.6 Units / -3.84% ROI).

• 34-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.95 Units / -9.49% ROI
• 42-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.2 Units / 15.34% ROI
• 27-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.95 Units / -24.02% ROI

Orioles vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Padres are 4-31 (.114) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .056.

The Padres are 22-1 (.957) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Padres are 8-3 (.727) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Padres are 27-1 (.964) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .892.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Orioles are just 6-31 (.162) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.

The Orioles are just 17-66 (.205) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.

The Orioles are just 6-11 (.353) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 11-15 (.423) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Padres Hitting Stats & Trends

The Padres are batting just .207 against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .663 (1,919 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OBP of just .293 (2,519 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Padres are batting just .219 this season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends

Orioles hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .174 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .449 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .291 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Padres Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Padres pitchers this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 433.8 feet — — shortest in MLB

Padres pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 358 times this season — 3rd fewest in MLB.

Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.52 (272.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Orioles have allowed 5.75 runs per game (184/32) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents are hitting .261 against Orioles pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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