• The – are favorites vs the –
• Padres starting pitcher: Joseph Musgrove
• Pirates starting pitcher: Luis Ortiz
• Watch the game on MLB Network

The San Diego Padres () visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates () on Thursday, June 29, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh.

The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().

The Padres vs Pirates Over/Under is total runs for the game.

This season, the Padres are 37-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 38-41 ATS.

Padres vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 79.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.

Bet now on Padres vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+9.40 Units / 58% ROI)
• Michael Wacha has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.15 Units / 70% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.40 Units / 22% ROI)
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 20 away games (+7.90 Units / 34% ROI)
• Austin Nola has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.70 Units / 60% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Carlos Santana has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+12.35 Units / 31% ROI)
• Jack Suwinski has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.95 Units / 78% ROI)
• Jack Suwinski has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.75 Units / 73% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 21 games at home (+9.30 Units / 23% ROI)
• Carlos Santana has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 13 games (+8.70 Units / 67% ROI)

Pirates vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 73 games (+18.80 Units / 24% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 70 games (+14.70 Units / 18% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.25 Units / 10% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 16 away games (+4.10 Units / 23% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 games (+2.65 Units / 7% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 51 games (+18.50 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.75 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.50 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.55 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+2.50 Units / 50% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 37-43 against the Run Line (-10 Units / -10.1% ROI).

• 37-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.45 Units / -19.16% ROI
• 29-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -24 Units / -26.74% ROI
• 47-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.55 Units / 17.97% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 38-41 against the Run Line (-13.05 Units / -12.39% ROI).

• 37-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.4 Units / -1.57% ROI
• 37-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.6 Units / -4.14% ROI
• 37-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.45 Units / -3.97% ROI

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

keys to the game – away

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

keys to the game – home

Padres Hitting Stats & Trends

team hitters – away

Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends

team hitters – home

Padres Pitching Stats & Trends

team pitchers – away

Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends

team pitchers – home

Pirates vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

• Ke’Bryan Hayes (Pirates): Undisclosed, D10
• Jarlín García (Pirates): Arm, D60
• Vincent Velasquez (Pirates): Elbow, D60
• Robert Zastryzny (Pirates): Forearm, D15
• Colin Holderman (Pirates): Wrist, D15
• Jose Hernandez (Pirates): Calf, D15
• Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
• Ji Man Choi (Pirates): Achilles, D60
• Bryan Reynolds (Pirates): Back, D10
• Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
• William Crowe (Pirates): Shoulder, D60
• Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60

• Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow/Flexor, D60
• José Castillo (Padres): Shoulder, D15
• Yu Darvish (Padres): Illness, Day-to-Day
• Preston Tucker (Padres): Foot, D10
• Thomas Cosgrove (Padres): Hamstring, D15
• David Knehr (Padres): Elbow, D15
• Robert Suarez (Padres): Elbow, D60
• Eguy Rosario (Padres): Ankle, D60
• Luis Campusano (Padres): Thumb Sprain, D60
• Steven Wilson (Padres): Pectoral Strain, D15

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