Padres vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 21

Texas Rangers' Marcus Semien watches his two-run home run against the Arizona Diamondbacks during the ninth inning in Game 5 of the baseball World Series Wednesday, Nov. 1, 2023, in Phoenix.
(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vรกsquez)
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  • The Rangers are -150 favorites vs the Padres
  • Padres vs Rangers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Padres / Rangers TV Channel: PDTV | RASN

The San Diego Padres (+125) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-150) on June 21, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:35 pm in Arlington, TX.

This season, the Padres are 39-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 34-39 ATS.

Padres vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Padres starting pitcher: Wandy Peralta 1-0, 1.97 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi 6-7, 4.25 ERA

Padres vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Padres+1.5 -175O 7.5 -105+125
Rangers -1.5 +145U 7.5 -115-150

Padres vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 56.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.45 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Xander Bogaerts has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.45 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Samad Taylor has hit the Runs Over in his last 6 games (+9.05 Units / 151% ROI)
  • Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Wyatt Langford has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+12.70 Units / 212% ROI)
  • Josh Jung has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Josh Jung has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+10.15 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Josh Jung has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Wyatt Langford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.70 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games (+5.35 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games (+4.20 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 away games (+3.65 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 22 away games (+1.65 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+9.80 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+9.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+8.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 23 games at home (+5.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+0.45 Units / 2% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 38-35 against the Run Line (-2.4 Units / -2.37% ROI).

  • 39-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.1 Units / 0.11% ROI
  • 33-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -11 Units / -13.25% ROI
  • 40-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.05 Units / 4.93% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 34-39 against the Run Line (-6.85 Units / -7.07% ROI).

  • 36-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.35 Units / -10.54% ROI
  • 34-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.6 Units / -6.64% ROI
  • 36-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.75 Units / -0.91% ROI

Rangers vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Jake Burger +375
Joc Pederson +400
Wyatt Langford +400
Manny Machado +425
Jackson Merrill +450

Rangers vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Josh Jung 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Jackson Merrill 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Wyatt Langford 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Ezequiel Duran 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Rangers vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jackson Merrill 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Manny Machado 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Rodolfo Duran 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Ezequiel Duran 0.5 -220 0.5 +165

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Padres are 4-2 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Padres are 25-2 (.926) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

The Padres are 9-3 (.750) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Padres are 4-34 (.105) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .055.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Rangers are just 3-22 (.120) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.

The Rangers are 32-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .862.

The Rangers are just 8-26 (.235) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .355.

The Rangers are just 2-36 (.053) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .138.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .657 (2,743 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OBP of just .286 (661 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .637 (1,357 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OBP of just .292 (2,743 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .676 (1,271 PA’s) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Rangers hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Rangers hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Rangers hitters are slugging just .236 with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Padres pitchers this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 400 times this season — 5th fewest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .265 against Padres pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have 126 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 4th most in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in late innings this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.