• The Rays are -135 favorites vs the Padres
• Padres vs Rays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Padres / Rays TV Channel: PDTV | RATV

The San Diego Padres (+110) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-135) on August 28, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Padres are 72-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 72-59 ATS.

Padres vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Padres starting pitcher: Casey Mize 5-7, 3.44 ERA
• Rays starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan 9-6, 3.12 ERA

Padres vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Friday‘s MLB game with 55.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Padres vs Rays and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

• Freddy Fermin has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.65 Units / 52% ROI)
• Freddy Fermin has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.85 Units / 47% ROI)
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+12.40 Units / 47% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.50 Units / 28% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+9.50 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Chandler Simpson has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+16.75 Units / 38% ROI)
• Jonathan Aranda has hit the Walks Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.10 Units / 38% ROI)
• Junior Caminero has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.15 Units / 33% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games at home (+10.20 Units / 255% ROI)
• Junior Caminero has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+8.35 Units / 44% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 40 games (+14.55 Units / 29% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.20 Units / 27% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 away games (+8.00 Units / 14% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+6.65 Units / 36% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.70 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+6.65 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 50 games at home (+6.45 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.15 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 93% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 73-58 against the Run Line (+12.1 Units / 6.86% ROI).

• 72-62 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.5 Units / 3.45% ROI
• 58-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.25 Units / -14.36% ROI
• 72-58 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.6 Units / 5.85% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 72-59 against the Run Line (+21.55 Units / 13.52% ROI).

• 79-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.3 Units / 8.35% ROI
• 59-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.4 Units / -11.26% ROI
• 69-59 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.85 Units / 2.62% ROI

Rays vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Padres are 56-1 (.982) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Padres are 59-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Padres are 50-7 (.877) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Padres are 8-55 (.127) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Rays are 12-43 (.218) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Rays are 36-14 (.720) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Padres (21st in runs scored).

The Rays are 31-5 (.861) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Rays are 77-42 (.647) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB.

Padres Hitting Stats & Trends

Padres hitters have an OPS of .755 (1,601 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Padres are batting .363 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Padres hitters have grounded into 109 double plays in 884 opportunities (12%) this season — highest in MLB.

The Padres are batting just .233 at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

The Rays are batting .263 with two outs this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Rays are batting .201 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters are slugging .275 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Padres Pitching Stats & Trends

Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Padres pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .262 against Padres pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB.

The Padres have allowed 3.71 runs per game (256/69) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Rays pitchers this season traveled 468.0 feet — — longest in MLB

Rays pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 68% of opposing batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

Bet now on Padres vs Rays and all games with BetMGM

Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.