• The Rays are -135 favorites vs the Padres
• Padres vs Rays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Padres / Rays TV Channel: PDTV | RATV

The San Diego Padres (+110) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-135) on August 29, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Padres are against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are ATS.

Padres vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Padres starting pitcher: Walker Buehler 8-6, 4.67 ERA
• Rays starting pitcher: Nick Martinez 13-4, 2.94 ERA

Padres vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Padres vs Rays and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

• Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.70 Units / 27% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.20 Units / 34% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+12.90 Units / 215% ROI)
• Freddy Fermin has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+11.40 Units / 56% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 45% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Chandler Simpson has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+19.40 Units / 44% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games at home (+16.00 Units / 320% ROI)
• Nick Martinez has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.85 Units / 43% ROI)
• Junior Caminero has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.15 Units / 33% ROI)
• Nick Martinez has hit the Earned Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.95 Units / 34% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games (+13.30 Units / 23% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.35 Units / 22% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 away games (+8.00 Units / 14% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+5.55 Units / 28% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 54% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 50 games at home (+9.10 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.65 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+6.25 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.95 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 35 games at home (+4.50 Units / 11% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Rays vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Padres are 49-4 (.925) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Padres are 50-7 (.877) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Padres are 56-1 (.982) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Padres are 12-6 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Rays are 32-5 (.865) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Rays are 37-14 (.725) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Padres (22nd in runs scored).

The Rays are 12-43 (.218) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Rays are 32-43 (.427) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB.

Padres Hitting Stats & Trends

Padres hitters are slugging just .368 at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have grounded into 109 double plays in 889 opportunities (12%) this season — highest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OBP of just .306 (1,279 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

Rays hitters are slugging .274 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are batting .266 with two outs this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are batting .201 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Padres Pitching Stats & Trends

Padres pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 239 times this season — 3rd fewest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have an ERA of 3.43 (633.0 IP) at home this season — 4th best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .263 against Padres pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .224 against Rays pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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