• The Rays are -175 favorites vs the Padres
• Padres vs Rays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Padres / Rays TV Channel: PDTV | RATV

The San Diego Padres (+145) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-175) on August 30, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Padres are 72-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 73-60 ATS.

Padres vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Padres starting pitcher: Robbie Ray 11-7, 3.23 ERA
• Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen 14-5, 2.95 ERA

Padres vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Padres vs Rays and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+11.90 Units / 170% ROI)
• Freddy Fermin has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+11.40 Units / 56% ROI)
• Freddy Fermin has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.35 Units / 43% ROI)
• Freddy Fermin has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.05 Units / 32% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.05 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Ryan Vilade has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games at home (+22.40 Units / 280% ROI)
• Chandler Simpson has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+19.40 Units / 44% ROI)
• Junior Caminero has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.55 Units / 41% ROI)
• Jonathan Aranda has hit the Walks Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+11.30 Units / 35% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+10.55 Units / 52% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games (+14.35 Units / 23% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.90 Units / 14% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.10 Units / 16% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 61% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 19 games (+4.45 Units / 21% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 50 games at home (+6.50 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+6.25 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.95 Units / 54% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.70 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.10 Units / 66% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 74-59 against the Run Line (+11.15 Units / 6.19% ROI).

• 72-64 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.5 Units / 2.17% ROI
• 60-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.25 Units / -12.82% ROI
• 72-60 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.4 Units / 4.29% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 73-60 against the Run Line (+22.2 Units / 13.75% ROI).

• 81-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.3 Units / 9.38% ROI
• 61-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.4 Units / -9.74% ROI
• 69-61 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.65 Units / 1.11% ROI

Rays vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Padres are 12-7 (.632) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Padres are 59-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Padres are 11-53 (.172) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

The Padres are 49-4 (.925) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Rays are 33-5 (.868) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Rays are 53-27 (.662) after a win this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are 38-14 (.731) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Padres (22nd in runs scored).

The Rays are 12-43 (.218) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Padres Hitting Stats & Trends

Padres hitters have an OPS of .751 (1,628 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Padres hitters are slugging just .368 at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Padres have answered-back in 37% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings this season — highest in MLB.

The Padres are batting .359 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

Rays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters are slugging .456 in righty-righty matchups this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters are slugging .273 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have missed on just 20% of swings this season — best in MLB.

Padres Pitching Stats & Trends

Padres pitchers have an ERA of 3.43 (633.0 IP) at home this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Padres have allowed 1.08 runs per game (147/136) in late innings this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Padres pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 239 times this season — 3rd fewest in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .224 against Rays pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Rays pitchers this season traveled 468.0 feet — — longest in MLB

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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