Padres vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 31

Reds player Tyler Stephenson looking discontented.
AP Photo/Patrick Semansky
Parlay Boost Today
  • The Padres are -155 favorites vs the Reds
  • Padres vs Reds Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Padres / Reds TV Channel: WXIX | RDTV | PDTV

The San Diego Padres (-155) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+125) on August 31, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Padres are against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are ATS.

Padres vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 8-9, 3.23 ERA
  • Reds starting pitcher: Brady Singer 5-12, 4.70 ERA

Padres vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Padres-1.5 +110O 9 -110-155
Reds +1.5 -135U 9 -110+125

Padres vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Monday‘s MLB game with 58.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Michael King has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.05 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Freddy Fermin has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+11.55 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Freddy Fermin has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+10.90 Units / 136% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Hector Rodriguez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+21.90 Units / 313% ROI)
  • JJ Bleday has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.45 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.35 Units / 49% ROI)
  • TJ Friedl has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.80 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Sal Stewart has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.55 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games (+14.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 20 games (+3.35 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+12.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+10.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+5.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 40 games (+3.00 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 23 games at home (+2.35 Units / 8% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Reds vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Jackson Merrill +270
Fernando Tatis Jr. +280
Manny Machado +280
Eugenio Suarez +300
Hector Rodriguez +310

Reds vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jackson Merrill 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Manny Machado 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Elly De La Cruz 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Sal Stewart 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Xander Bogaerts 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Reds vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Sal Stewart 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Jackson Merrill 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
JJ Bleday 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Dane Myers 0.5 -220 0.5 +165

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Padres are 11-53 (.172) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

The Padres are 56-2 (.966) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Padres are 12-7 (.632) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Padres are 32-17 (.653) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Reds (26th fewest runs allowed).

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Reds are 49-15 (.766) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Reds are 7-64 (.099) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Reds are just 7-17 (.292) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Reds are just 32-16 (.667) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters are slugging just .368 at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Padres are batting .360 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Padres are batting just .236 this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have grounded into 109 double plays in 906 opportunities (12%) this season — highest in MLB.

Reds hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against RHP this season — highest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .228 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .207 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .224 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have an ERA of 3.43 (633.0 IP) at home this season — 4th best in MLB.

Padres pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 239 times this season — 3rd fewest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Reds pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Reds pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 61% of their games this season — tied for highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have an ERA of 5.31 (379.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Reds have allowed 5.28 runs per game (364/69) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.