• The Padres are -140 favorites vs the Reds
• Padres vs Reds Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
• Padres / Reds TV Channel: RDTV | PDTV

The San Diego Padres (-140) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+115) on September 1, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Padres are against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are ATS.

Padres vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

• Padres starting pitcher: Randy Vasquez 10-6, 4.04 ERA
• Reds starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo 3-3, 5.22 ERA

Padres vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 59.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Padres vs Reds and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

• Samad Taylor has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.75 Units / 60% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+12.30 Units / 49% ROI)
• Freddy Fermin has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 33% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.05 Units / 26% ROI)
• Freddy Fermin has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.05 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Hector Rodriguez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+20.90 Units / 261% ROI)
• JJ Bleday has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.45 Units / 40% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.35 Units / 48% ROI)
• TJ Friedl has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.65 Units / 43% ROI)
• Sal Stewart has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+9.70 Units / 108% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+16.35 Units / 26% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 away games (+10.55 Units / 26% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.20 Units / 21% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 21 games (+4.35 Units / 19% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 40 games (+2.85 Units / 6% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+14.25 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+12.50 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+7.75 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+2.05 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 24 games at home (+1.35 Units / 4% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Reds vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Padres are 11-53 (.172) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Padres are 12-7 (.632) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Padres are 57-2 (.966) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Padres are 33-17 (.660) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Reds (26th fewest runs allowed).

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Reds are 7-65 (.097) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Reds are 49-15 (.766) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Reds are just 7-17 (.292) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Reds are just 32-16 (.667) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Padres Hitting Stats & Trends

The Padres are batting .360 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Padres hitters have grounded into 110 double plays in 918 opportunities (12%) this season — highest in MLB.

The Padres have answered-back in 37% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings this season — highest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OPS of .750 (1,657 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 4th best in MLB.

Reds Hitting Stats & Trends

Reds hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against RHP this season — highest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .223 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .228 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters have an OBP of just .303 (2,225 PA’s) with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres Pitching Stats & Trends

Padres pitchers have an ERA of 3.43 (633.0 IP) at home this season — 4th best in MLB.

Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Padres pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 61% of their games at home this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.

The Padres have allowed 3.71 runs per game (256/69) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Reds Pitching Stats & Trends

The Reds pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 61% of their games this season — highest in MLB.

The Reds pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 67% of their games at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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