Padres vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 21

Colorado Rockies left fielder Kris Bryant (23) in the sixth inning of a baseball game Wednesday, July 27, 2022, in Denver.
(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
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  • The Padres are -145 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Padres vs Rockies Over / Under today: 11 Runs
  • Padres / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | PDTV

The San Diego Padres (-145) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+120) on April 21, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40 pm in Denver, CO.

This season, the Padres are 15-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 14-9 ATS.

Padres vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Padres starting pitcher: Randy Vasquez 1-0, 2.53 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Juan Mejia 0-2, 7.01 ERA

Padres vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Padres-1.5 +105O 11 -110-145
Rockies +1.5 -130U 11 -110+120

Padres vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 59.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.70 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jackson Merrill has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.80 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Manny Machado has hit the Walks Over in 11 of his last 20 games (+9.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Manny Machado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+9.20 Units / 33% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Kyle Karros has hit the Walks Over in his last 7 games at home (+11.70 Units / 167% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • T.J. Rumfield has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Troy Johnston has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.15 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Mickey Moniak has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+8.30 Units / 119% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.75 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.90 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games (+8.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+8.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 away games (+7.95 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 45 games at home (+9.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+7.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 50 games at home (+7.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+5.05 Units / 41% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 14-7 against the Run Line (+5.25 Units / 16.8% ROI).

  • 15-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.25 Units / 30.05% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.85 Units / -11.88% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.1 Units / 4.5% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 14-9 against the Run Line (+4.35 Units / 15.68% ROI).

  • 9-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 6.3% ROI
  • 9-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.6 Units / -25.73% ROI
  • 14-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.25 Units / 17.03% ROI

Rockies vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Hunter Goodman +350
Mickey Moniak +360
Jackson Merrill +380
Manny Machado +400
Ramon Laureano +400

Rockies vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ezequiel Tovar 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Ty France 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Hunter Goodman 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Freddy Fermin 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Troy Johnston 0.5 -220 0.5 +165

Rockies vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ezequiel Tovar 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Brenton Doyle 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Manny Machado 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Edouard Julien 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Padres are 12-1 (.923) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .721.

The Padres are 15-7 (.682) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Padres are 10-0 (1.000) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .767.

The Padres were 63-5 (.926) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .875.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Rockies were just 43-119 (.265) in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies were just 40-96 (.294) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

The Rockies are just 34-97 (.260) after a loss since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .480.

The Rockies are just 48-107 (.310) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

Padres hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2024 season — best in MLB.

Padres hitters struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Padres hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Padres hitters have 29 extra-base hits out of 63 total hits (46%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .264 (3,384 PA’s) on the road since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies hitters had an OPS of just .589 (2,886 PA’s) on the road in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies hitters had an OBP of just .259 (2,886 PA’s) on the road in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The Rockies won only 22% of their road games in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Padres pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Padres allowed 1.04 runs per game (168/162) in late innings in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Padres pitchers had a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 17% in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers had an ERA of 6.50 (732.0 IP) at home in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers had an ERA of 6.00 (1407.1 IP) in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.