Padres vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 23

Colorado Rockies outfielder Kris Bryant (23) bats during a spring training baseball game against the Los Angeles Dodgers, Thursday, Feb. 27, 2025, in Scottsdale, Ariz.
(AP Photo/Darryl Webb)
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  • The Padres are -155 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Padres vs Rockies Over / Under today: 11 Runs
  • Padres / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | PDTV

The San Diego Padres (-155) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+125) on April 23, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10 pm in Denver, CO.

This season, the Padres are 16-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 16-9 ATS.

Padres vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Padres starting pitcher: Matt Waldron 0-1, 14.74 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Ryan Feltner 1-1, 6.01 ERA

Padres vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Padres-1.5 -102O 11 -110-155
Rockies +1.5 -118U 11 -110+125

Padres vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 61.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Manny Machado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.45 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Jackson Merrill has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.90 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Xander Bogaerts has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.95 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jake McCarthy has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.65 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Kyle Karros has hit the Walks Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+12.15 Units / 135% ROI)
  • Jake McCarthy has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.05 Units / 35% ROI)
  • T.J. Rumfield has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Hunter Goodman has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+8.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 games (+12.35 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 away games (+9.45 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 away games (+8.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 30 games (+7.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 7 away games (+7.10 Units / 83% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+8.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 50 games at home (+8.85 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+7.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+7.05 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.25 Units / 23% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 14-9 against the Run Line (+3.15 Units / 9.45% ROI).

  • 16-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.7 Units / 25.29% ROI
  • 9-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.05 Units / -19.27% ROI
  • 13-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.1 Units / 11.63% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 16-9 against the Run Line (+6.35 Units / 21.13% ROI).

  • 10-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 7.2% ROI
  • 9-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.8 Units / -31.6% ROI
  • 16-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.25 Units / 23.02% ROI

Rockies vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Hunter Goodman +310
Ramon Laureano +340
Manny Machado +360
Mickey Moniak +375
Jackson Merrill +390

Rockies vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Freeman 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
TJ Rumfield 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Luis Campusano 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Hunter Goodman 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Mickey Moniak 0.5 -250 0.5 +185

Rockies vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Willi Castro 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Mickey Moniak 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Jackson Merrill 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Kyle Karros 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.5 -175 0.5 +130

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Padres were 63-5 (.926) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Padres are 29-6 (.829) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .699.

The Padres were 48-12 (.800) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .743.

The Padres are 10-0 (1.000) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .766.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Rockies were just 40-96 (.294) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

The Rockies are just 49-108 (.312) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The Rockies were just 43-119 (.265) in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are just 53-134 (.283) since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Padres hitters struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Padres hitters struck out in just 19% of their PA’s in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.

Padres hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Padres hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2024 season — best in MLB.

The Rockies won only 22% of their road games in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The Rockies batted just .203 on the road in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .264 (3,384 PA’s) on the road since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies hitters slugged just .330 on the road in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Padres pitchers had a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 17% in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 17% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.