Padres vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 12, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Padres (50-38) are -145 favorites vs the Rockies (38-49)
  • Padres starting pitcher: Michael Clevinger (2-1), 3.34 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber (4-7), 6.46 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet RM

The San Diego Padres (-145) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+120) on Tuesday, July 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver.

The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Padres vs Rockies Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Padres are 50-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 44-43 ATS.

Padres vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Padres-1.5 +105O 11 -105-145
Rockies +1.5 -125U 11 -115+120

Padres vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 69.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 17 away games (+12.15 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 16 games (+8.60 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Trent Grisham has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 29 away games (+7.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 22 away games (+6.95 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 16 away games (+6.50 Units / 32% ROI)

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • C.J. Cron has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+9.50 Units / 69% ROI)
  • C.J. Cron has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.75 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Jose Iglesias has hit the Hits Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 44% ROI)

Rockies vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Rodgers 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Brian Serven 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
C.J. Cron 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +425 0.5 -900
Connor Joe 0.5 +425 0.5 -900

Rockies vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Rodgers 1.5 +145 1.5 -200
Brian Serven 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
C.J. Cron 1.5 +145 1.5 -200
Charlie Blackmon 1.5 +165 1.5 -250
Connor Joe 1.5 +170 1.5 -250

Rockies vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Rodgers 0.5 +115 0.5 -165
Brian Serven 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
C.J. Cron 0.5 +100 0.5 -145
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Connor Joe 0.5 +155 0.5 -225

Rockies vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Gomber 3.5 -160 3.5 +115
Mike Clevinger 4.5 +105 4.5 -150
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 34 of their last 63 games (+9.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 53 games (+6.60 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 30 away games (+5.45 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 away games (+4.95 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 40 of their last 76 games (+6.20 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+5.85 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 36 games (+5.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+2.10 Units / 19% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 43-45 against the Run Line (-2.25 Units / -2.06% ROI).

  • 50-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.45 Units / 2.87% ROI
  • 39-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.1 Units / -12.62% ROI
  • 47-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.8 Units / 3.87% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 44-43 against the Run Line (-6.05 Units / -5.52% ROI).

  • 38-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -3.52% ROI
  • 41-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.4 Units / -3.54% ROI
  • 40-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.4 Units / -5.65% ROI

Opponents are hitless in 22 AB’s against Mike Clevinger with two-strikes — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .153 — 100th Percentile.

Mike Clevinger had a first-pitch strike rate of just 44% (12/27) — 3rd lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 61% — fourth Percentile.

Mike Clevinger has not allowed a hit to any of the last 29 batters he’s faced after reaching two strikes. — Charlie Morton has the longest active streak at 35.

Mike Clevinger has a first-pitch strike rate of just 52% (25/48) — 10th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 62% — 10th Percentile.

Austin Gomber: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Austin Gomber has allowed an OPS of .939 (260 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: .709 — first Percentile.

Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .627 (74 Total Bases / 118 ABs) on fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: .426 — first Percentile.

Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .650 (26 Total Bases / 40 ABs) this month (2 games) — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .391 — fourth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .395 (17-for-43) against Austin Gomber’s elevated fastball this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: .227 — second Percentile.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Padres are 27-18 (.600) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .478.

The Padres are 41-11 (.788) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .703.

The Padres are 14-4 (.778) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

The Padres are 17-7 (.708) when scoring in the first inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Rockies are just 15-27 (.357) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.

The Rockies are just 12-27 (.308) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are 7-37 (.159) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .112.

The Rockies are just 33-39 (.458) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

Padres hitters are slugging just .373 this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.

Padres hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,323 of their 3,984 plate appearances (33%) versus relief pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 58% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.

Padres hitters are slugging just .378 at home since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.

Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .639 (4,528 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .708.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.1 feet since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.7.

The Rockies are batting .280 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Rockies are batting .280 at home since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 486.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 456.8

Padres pitchers have walked 47 of 794 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Padres have won just just 0% of the time at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Padres have won 55% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 456.8

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The average home run distance against the Rockies pitchers since the start of last season is 408.1 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.7

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Rockies vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Undisclosed, D10
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Undisclosed, D15
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • William Myers (Padres): Knee, D10
  • Adrian Morejon (Padres): Shoulder, D15
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
  • Robert Suarez (Padres): Knee, D15
  • Steven Wilson (Padres): Hamstring, D15
  • Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D60
  • Jurickson Profar (Padres): Concussion, D7
  • Craig Stammen (Padres): Shoulder, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.