- The Padres (50-38) are -145 favorites vs the Rockies (38-49)
- Padres starting pitcher: Michael Clevinger (2-1), 3.34 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber (4-7), 6.46 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The San Diego Padres (-145) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+120) on Tuesday, July 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver.
The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Padres vs Rockies Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Padres are 50-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 44-43 ATS.
Padres vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | -1.5 +105 | O 11 -105 | -145 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -125 | U 11 -115 | +120 |
Padres vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 69.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 17 away games (+12.15 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 16 games (+8.60 Units / 51% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 29 away games (+7.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 22 away games (+6.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 16 away games (+6.50 Units / 32% ROI)
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- C.J. Cron has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+9.50 Units / 69% ROI)
- C.J. Cron has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 63% ROI)
- Jose Iglesias has hit the Hits Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 44% ROI)
Rockies vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Rodgers | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Brian Serven | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
Rockies vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Rodgers | 1.5 +145 | 1.5 -200 |
| Brian Serven | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| C.J. Cron | 1.5 +145 | 1.5 -200 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -250 |
| Connor Joe | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -250 |
Rockies vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Rodgers | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -165 |
| Brian Serven | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -145 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
Rockies vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Gomber | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +115 |
| Mike Clevinger | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -150 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 34 of their last 63 games (+9.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 53 games (+6.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 30 away games (+5.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 away games (+4.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.55 Units / 22% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rockies: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 40 of their last 76 games (+6.20 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+5.85 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 36 games (+5.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+2.10 Units / 19% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 43-45 against the Run Line (-2.25 Units / -2.06% ROI).
- 50-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.45 Units / 2.87% ROI
- 39-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.1 Units / -12.62% ROI
- 47-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.8 Units / 3.87% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 44-43 against the Run Line (-6.05 Units / -5.52% ROI).
- 38-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -3.52% ROI
- 41-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.4 Units / -3.54% ROI
- 40-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.4 Units / -5.65% ROI
Michael Clevinger: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitless in 22 AB’s against Mike Clevinger with two-strikes — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .153 — 100th Percentile.
Mike Clevinger had a first-pitch strike rate of just 44% (12/27) — 3rd lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 61% — fourth Percentile.
Mike Clevinger has not allowed a hit to any of the last 29 batters he’s faced after reaching two strikes. — Charlie Morton has the longest active streak at 35.
Mike Clevinger has a first-pitch strike rate of just 52% (25/48) — 10th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 62% — 10th Percentile.
Austin Gomber: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Austin Gomber has allowed an OPS of .939 (260 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: .709 — first Percentile.
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .627 (74 Total Bases / 118 ABs) on fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: .426 — first Percentile.
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .650 (26 Total Bases / 40 ABs) this month (2 games) — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .391 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .395 (17-for-43) against Austin Gomber’s elevated fastball this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: .227 — second Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Padres are 27-18 (.600) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .478.
The Padres are 41-11 (.788) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
The Padres are 14-4 (.778) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Padres are 17-7 (.708) when scoring in the first inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Rockies are just 15-27 (.357) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.
The Rockies are just 12-27 (.308) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are 7-37 (.159) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .112.
The Rockies are just 33-39 (.458) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters are slugging just .373 this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Padres hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,323 of their 3,984 plate appearances (33%) versus relief pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 58% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.
Padres hitters are slugging just .378 at home since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .639 (4,528 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .708.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.1 feet since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.7.
The Rockies are batting .280 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies are batting .280 at home since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 486.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 456.8
Padres pitchers have walked 47 of 794 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Padres have won just just 0% of the time at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Padres have won 55% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 456.8
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The average home run distance against the Rockies pitchers since the start of last season is 408.1 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.7
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rockies vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Undisclosed, D10
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Undisclosed, D15
- Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- William Myers (Padres): Knee, D10
- Adrian Morejon (Padres): Shoulder, D15
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
- Robert Suarez (Padres): Knee, D15
- Steven Wilson (Padres): Hamstring, D15
- Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D60
- Jurickson Profar (Padres): Concussion, D7
- Craig Stammen (Padres): Shoulder, D15
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