Padres vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 14, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Padres (50-40) are -135 favorites vs the Rockies (40-49)
  • Padres starting pitcher: Blake Snell (1-5), 4.66 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland (4-7), 4.70 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The San Diego Padres (-135) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+115) on Thursday, July 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver.

The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Padres vs Rockies Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Padres are 50-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 46-43 ATS.

Padres vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Padres-1.5 +105O 11.5 -115-135
Rockies +1.5 -130U 11.5 -105+115

Padres vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Thursday‘s matchup with 55.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 19 away games (+11.85 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 19 away games (+8.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 10 away games (+5.95 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 18 away games (+5.85 Units / 25% ROI)

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Connor Joe has hit the Hits Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Over in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+5.25 Units / 105% ROI)
  • Connor Joe has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.15 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Garrett Hampson has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 46% ROI)

Rockies vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Rodgers 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Brian Serven 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
C.J. Cron 0.5 +290 0.5 -500
Connor Joe 0.5 +425 0.5 -900
Jose Iglesias 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400

Rockies vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Rodgers 1.5 +165 1.5 -250
Brian Serven 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
C.J. Cron 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Connor Joe 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Jose Iglesias 1.5 +130 1.5 -185

Rockies vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Rodgers 0.5 +120 0.5 -165
Brian Serven 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
C.J. Cron 0.5 +115 0.5 -165
Connor Joe 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Jose Iglesias 0.5 +135 0.5 -190

Rockies vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kyle Freeland 3.5 -175 3.5 +120
Blake Snell 5.5 +110 5.5 -150
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 46 away games (+10.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 35 of their last 65 games (+9.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 46 away games (+6.95 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 55 games (+6.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 16 games (+1.10 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+8.75 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 41 of their last 78 games (+6.05 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 38 games (+5.60 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+4.20 Units / 33% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 43-47 against the Run Line (-4.45 Units / -3.99% ROI).

  • 50-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 0.12% ROI
  • 40-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.25 Units / -12.47% ROI
  • 48-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.75 Units / 3.74% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 46-43 against the Run Line (-4.05 Units / -3.62% ROI).

  • 40-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.4 Units / -0.42% ROI
  • 42-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.55 Units / -3.61% ROI
  • 41-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.45 Units / -5.58% ROI

Blake Snell has walked 78 of 586 right-handed batters (13%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Blake Snell has walked 35 of 200 batters (17%) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.

Blake Snell has walked 94 of 753 batters (12%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Blake Snell has a strike rate of just 60% (1,490/2,497) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.

Kyle Freeland: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kyle Freeland has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 50% (135/269) of opposing batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Kyle Freeland had a first-pitch strike rate of just 30% (8/27) — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .392 (51-for-130) against Kyle Freeland’s changeup since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: .236 — first Percentile.

Kyle Freeland has a strike rate of just 61% (707/1,153) against right-handed batters this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — sixth Percentile.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Padres are 14-4 (.778) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Padres are 41-11 (.788) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .702.

The Padres are 6-27 (.182) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Padres are just 40-5 (.889) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Rockies are just 15-27 (.357) on the road this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .477.

The Rockies are 7-37 (.159) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Rockies are just 5-11 (.312) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are 27-1 (.964) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .886.

Padres hitters are slugging just .338 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.

Padres hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,333 of their 4,017 plate appearances (33%) versus relief pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Padres hitters have drawn 640 walks in 6,815 PA’s (9%) against RHP since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 58% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.

The Rockies are batting .283 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

The Rockies are batting .307 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.

The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .639 (4,528 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .708.

The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 486.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 456.8

The Padres have won 55% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Padres have won just just 0% of the time at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Padres pitchers have walked 48 of 810 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 456.8

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Opponents are hitting .274 against Rockies pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .242.

Rockies vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Undisclosed, D10
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Undisclosed, D15
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • William Myers (Padres): Knee, D10
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
  • Robert Suarez (Padres): Knee, D60
  • Steven Wilson (Padres): Hamstring, D15
  • Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D60
  • Jurickson Profar (Padres): Concussion, D7
  • Craig Stammen (Padres): Shoulder, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.