- The Padres are -140 favorites vs the Rockies
- Padres starting pitcher: Ryan Weathers
- Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The San Diego Padres (-140) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+120) on Saturday, June 10, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver.
The Padres are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Padres vs Rockies Over/Under is 12.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Padres are 30-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 30-35 ATS.
Padres vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | -1.5 +105 | O 12.5 -115 | -140 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -125 | U 12.5 -105 | +120 |
Padres vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 61.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nelson Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.50 Units / 74% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 19 games (+8.95 Units / 47% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 13 games (+8.05 Units / 58% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 12 away games (+8.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Rougned Odor has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 away games (+7.80 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 18 games at home (+12.05 Units / 67% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 42 games (+11.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.90 Units / 55% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 17 games (+7.90 Units / 46% ROI)
Rockies vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Rockies vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 1.5 +120 | 1.5 -160 |
| Jurickson Profar | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -210 |
| Elehuris Montero | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
| Elias Diaz | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -225 |
| Alan Trejo | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Rockies vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -135 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
Rockies vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Weathers | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -135 |
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 56 games (+20.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 53 games (+11.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games (+6.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 away games (+4.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.95 Units / 42% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games (+9.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games at home (+8.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 46 games (+7.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 46 games (+6.25 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 63 games (+6.15 Units / 8% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 32-31 against the Run Line (-3.1 Units / -3.86% ROI).
- 30-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.4 Units / -15.89% ROI
- 21-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.15 Units / -34.04% ROI
- 40-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.35 Units / 25.53% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 30-35 against the Run Line (-8.15 Units / -10.56% ROI).
- 26-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.7 Units / -8.38% ROI
- 28-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.85 Units / -17.81% ROI
- 37-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.7 Units / 9.44% ROI
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Weathers has a strikeout rate of just 15% (8 SO in 52 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 33% — second Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .330 (35-for-106) against Ryan Weathers this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .251 — fourth Percentile.
Ryan Weathers has a strike rate of just 60% (297/497) against right-handed batters this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Ryan Weathers has allowed an OBP of .400 (120 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .310 — fourth Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .216 against Kyle Freeland on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for second best among qualified SPs– 98th Percentile. Opponents batted .438 (49-for-112) against him on the first pitch of at-bats last season — second worst among qualified SPs– fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .216 (8-for-37) against Kyle Freeland on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .343 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (92/536) against Kyle Freeland this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has allowed a slugging percentage of .434 (33 Total Bases / 76 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — first Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Padres were 21-2 (.913) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The Padres were 73-25 (.745) when allowing 4 or fewer runs in 2022 — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Padres were just 3-58 (.049) when trailing entering the 8th inning in 2022 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Padres were 30-12 (.714) when scoring in the first inning in 2022 — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Rockies were just 33-31 (.516) when totaling 10 or more hits in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Rockies were just 41-24 (.631) when scoring 5 or more runs in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .805.
The Rockies were just 23-11 (.676) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits in 2022 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The Rockies were just 15-55 (.214) when allowing 10 or more hits in 2022 — tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have drawn 193 walks in 1,647 PA’s (12%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Padres hitters have drawn 607 walks in 5,995 PA’s (10%) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Padres are batting just .214 on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Padres are batting just .222 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .258.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Rockies are batting .283 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Rockies are batting .305 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 412.6 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.5.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 35% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (1,518 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Padres pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Padres pitchers have walked 13 of 108 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have walked 66 of 565 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% against Rockies pitchers over the last 30 days (27 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Heel, D10
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
- Christopher Cron (Rockies): Back, D10
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow/Flexor, D60
- José Castillo (Padres): Shoulder, D15
- Jacob Lugo (Padres): Calf, D15
- Nelson Cruz (Padres): Hamstring, D10
- Robert Suarez (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Nabil Crismatt (Padres): Hip Strain, D15
- Eguy Rosario (Padres): Ankle, D60
- Luis Campusano (Padres): Thumb Sprain, D60
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