- The Padres are -190 favorites vs the Rockies
- Padres starting pitcher: Blake Snell
- Rockies starting pitcher: Dinelson Lamet
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The San Diego Padres (-190) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+160) on Sunday, June 11, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver.
The Padres are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-130).
The Padres vs Rockies Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Padres are 31-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 31-35 ATS.
Padres vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | -1.5 -130 | O 11.5 -115 | -190 |
| Rockies | +1.5 +105 | U 11.5 -105 | +160 |
Padres vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 72.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nelson Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.50 Units / 74% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+9.95 Units / 49% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 35 games (+7.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- Rougned Odor has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 away games (+7.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.65 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+11.15 Units / 42% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 17 games at home (+10.50 Units / 62% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+9.55 Units / 103% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.15 Units / 24% ROI)
Rockies vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Alan Trejo | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Rockies vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Alan Trejo | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Rockies vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Alan Trejo | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Rockies vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dinelson Lamet | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
| Blake Snell | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -155 |
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 57 games (+21.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 54 games (+12.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 18 games (+5.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 27 away games (+3.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.00 Units / 45% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 54 games (+10.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 28 games at home (+9.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 47 games (+8.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 47 games (+7.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 38 of their last 64 games (+7.15 Units / 9% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 32-32 against the Run Line (-4.1 Units / -5.04% ROI).
- 31-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.4 Units / -14.56% ROI
- 21-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.2 Units / -35% ROI
- 41-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.35 Units / 26.56% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 31-35 against the Run Line (-7.15 Units / -9.13% ROI).
- 26-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.7 Units / -9.71% ROI
- 28-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.9 Units / -18.99% ROI
- 38-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.7 Units / 10.68% ROI
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Blake Snell has a strike rate of just 52% (127/243) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Blake Snell has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 46% (152/333) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Blake Snell has a strike rate of just 60% (1,748/2,913) against right-handed batters since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 89 total IP; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Blake Snell has allowed three-ball counts to 36% of batters they faced (98/271 PA’s) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 20% — 0 Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dinelson Lamet has allowed an OBP of .462 (91 PA’s) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .311 — first Percentile.
Dinelson Lamet has an ERA of 12.42 (10.2 IP)this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 3.72 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .360 (27-for-75) against Dinelson Lamet this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 0 Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .405 (17-for-42) against Dinelson Lamet this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .227 — first Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Padres are 6-6 (.500) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Padres are 61-51 (.545) on the road since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Padres are 31-4 (.886) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Padres are just 5-85 (.056) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .089.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Rockies are just 32-16 (.667) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Rockies are just 19-7 (.731) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .861.
The Rockies are just 47-41 (.534) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Rockies are just 6-7 (.462) after a win as favorites since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .595.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have drawn 196 walks in 1,664 PA’s (12%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Padres are batting just .215 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Padres are batting just .228 this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Padres are batting just .202 with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .282 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 412.7 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.5.
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 34% on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (1,543 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Avg of just 36% against the Padres pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Padres pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 561 times this season — fewest in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .194 against Padres pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .225.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have walked 68 of 574 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have walked 193 of 2,005 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.47 (1046.0 IP) at home since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.
Rockies vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Heel, D10
- Charles Blackmon (Rockies): Hand, D10
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
- Christopher Cron (Rockies): Back, D10
- Elias DÃaz (Rockies): Head, Day-to-Day
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow/Flexor, D60
- José Castillo (Padres): Shoulder, D15
- Jacob Lugo (Padres): Calf, D15
- Nelson Cruz (Padres): Hamstring, D10
- Robert Suarez (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Nabil Crismatt (Padres): Hip Strain, D15
- Eguy Rosario (Padres): Ankle, D60
- Luis Campusano (Padres): Thumb Sprain, D60
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