- The Padres (41-24) are -145 favorites vs the Rockies (27-37)
- Padres starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore (4-2), 2.50 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland (2-5), 4.38 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The San Diego Padres (-145) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+120) on Friday, June 17, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver.
The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Padres vs Rockies Over/Under is 12.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Padres are 41-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 31-33 ATS.
Padres vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | -1.5 +100 | O 12.5 -105 | -145 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -120 | U 12.5 -115 | +120 |
Padres vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Friday‘s matchup with 63.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 7 away games (+7.45 Units / 74% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 14 away games (+7.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+6.55 Units / 58% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 16 away games (+6.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+5.70 Units / 86% ROI)
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Randal Grichuk has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+6.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 11 games at home (+6.15 Units / 48% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+5.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the RBIs Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+5.40 Units / 26% ROI)
Rockies vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Rodgers | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -700 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Rockies vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Rodgers | 1.5 +125 | 1.5 -175 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 1.5 +135 | 1.5 -190 |
| Connor Joe | 1.5 +145 | 1.5 -200 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jose Iglesias | 1.5 +140 | 1.5 -200 |
Rockies vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Rodgers | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -145 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -145 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -190 |
Rockies vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Freeland | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -150 |
| Mackenzie Gore | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -145 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 64 games (+13.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 20 away games (+13.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+9.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+5.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.45 Units / 20% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rockies: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 49 games (+5.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 29 of their last 53 games (+5.10 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games (+1.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 8 games (+0.20 Units / 2% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 37-28 against the Run Line (+9.3 Units / 11.1% ROI).
- 41-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.7 Units / 13.04% ROI
- 29-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.6 Units / -10.73% ROI
- 34-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.25 Units / 3.1% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 31-33 against the Run Line (-8.15 Units / -10.08% ROI).
- 27-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.95 Units / -7.11% ROI
- 32-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.15 Units / 0.21% ROI
- 29-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.5 Units / -9.17% ROI
MacKenzie Gore: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
MacKenzie Gore has not allowed a HR in any of his last eight starts dating back to April 20th — tied with Collin McHugh for the longest active streak among active MLB players.
MacKenzie Gore has not allowed a home run in any of the last 47.2 innings he’s appeared — A.J. Minter has the longest active streak at 67.1.
MacKenzie Gore has a strikeout rate of 34% (22 SO in 65 PAs) versus the heart of the order this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 98th Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has allowed a slugging percentage of just .130 (7 Total Bases / 54 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: .377 — 98th Percentile.
Kyle Freeland: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Freeland has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 54% (99/185) of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
10 of Kyle Freeland’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — 3rd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 97th Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 16 of Kyle Freeland’s 108 changeups out of the zone (chase rate of 15%) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 35% — first Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has a strikeout rate of just 4% (3 SO in 70 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — sixth Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Padres are 24-11 (.686) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .487.
The Padres are 33-8 (.805) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Padres are 5-17 (.227) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Padres are just 33-4 (.892) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .925.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Rockies are 19-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Rockies are just 11-18 (.379) on the road this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .487.
The Rockies are just 4-13 (.235) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.
The Rockies are 5-28 (.152) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,238 of their 3,698 plate appearances (34%) versus relief pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Padres are batting .255 on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Padres hitters have an OPS of just .661 (1,096 PA’s) at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 45% since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
Rockies hitters have pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .637 (4,044 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Rockies are batting .278 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.2 feet since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.9.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres have won 64% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .182 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .222.
The Padres have won 50% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .146 against Padres pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .213.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 453.6
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Rockies pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Garrett Hampson (Rockies): COVID-19, D10
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Back, D10
- Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
- Tyson Blach (Rockies): Wrist, D15
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- William Myers (Padres): Knee, D10
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Undisclosed, D60
- Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
- Robert Suarez (Padres): Knee, D15
- Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D10
- Michael Clevinger (Padres): COVID-19, D10
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