Padres vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 18

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games

(AP Photo)

BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 18, 2022, 12:00 PM

The Padres (41-25) are -125 favorites vs the Rockies (28-37)
Padres starting pitcher: Nicholas Martinez (2-3), 3.74 ERA
Rockies starting pitcher: Germán Márquez (3-5), 6.08 ERA
Watch the game on SportsNet RM

The San Diego Padres (-125) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+105) on Saturday, June 18, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10pm EDT in Denver.

The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).

The Padres vs Rockies Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Padres are 41-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 32-33 ATS.

Padres vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

	Spread	Over / Under	Moneyline
Padres	-1.5 +115	O 11.5 -105	-125
Rockies	+1.5 -140	U 11.5 -115	+105

Padres vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Saturday‘s matchup with 63.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 away games (+8.45 Units / 75% ROI)

Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 15 away games (+8.00 Units / 50% ROI)

Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+7.95 Units / 64% ROI)

Trent Grisham has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+6.70 Units / 88% ROI)

Trent Grisham has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+6.60 Units / 18% ROI)

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Brendan Rodgers has hit the RBIs Under in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+6.40 Units / 28% ROI)

Randal Grichuk has hit the RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.15 Units / 34% ROI)

Brendan Rodgers has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.85 Units / 58% ROI)

Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 9 games at home (+5.45 Units / 47% ROI)

Charlie Blackmon has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.05 Units / 94% ROI)

Rockies vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

	Over	Under
Brendan Rodgers	0.5 +333	0.5 -600
Brian Serven	0.5 +400	0.5 -700
C.J. Cron	0.5 +240	0.5 -375
Charlie Blackmon	0.5 +450	0.5 -900
Connor Joe	0.5 +360	0.5 -650

Rockies vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

	Over	Under
Brian Serven	0.5 -225	0.5 +155
C.J. Cron	1.5 +145	1.5 -200
Charlie Blackmon	1.5 +145	1.5 -200
Connor Joe	1.5 +135	1.5 -200
Jose Iglesias	1.5 +150	1.5 -225

Rockies vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

	Over	Under
Brendan Rodgers	0.5 -110	0.5 -130
Brian Serven	0.5 +135	0.5 -200
Charlie Blackmon	0.5 +135	0.5 -200
Connor Joe	0.5 +130	0.5 -190
Jose Iglesias	0.5 +130	0.5 -185

Rockies vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

	Over	Under
German Marquez	3.5 -175	3.5 +125
Nick Martinez	3.5 -130	3.5 -110

Positive Betting Trends for the Padres Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 35 away games (+18.80 Units / 37% ROI)

The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 away games (+13.20 Units / 30% ROI)

The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 24 of their last 41 games (+8.65 Units / 19% ROI)

The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 29 away games (+7.05 Units / 22% ROI)

The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.20 Units / 12% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Rockies: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games (+6.20 Units / 11% ROI)

The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 30 of their last 54 games (+6.10 Units / 10% ROI)

The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 42% ROI)

The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+2.80 Units / 25% ROI)

The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games (+1.50 Units / 16% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 37-29 against the Run Line (+8.3 Units / 9.79% ROI).

41-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.2 Units / 11.18% ROI
30-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.6 Units / -9.18% ROI
34-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.1 Units / 1.49% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 32-33 against the Run Line (-7.15 Units / -8.71% ROI).

28-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.65 Units / -5.17% ROI
33-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.15 Units / 1.61% ROI
29-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.65 Units / -10.63% ROI

Nicholas Martinez: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a Well-Hit Avg of .483 (14/29) against Nick Martinez on fastballs away this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .232 — first Percentile.

Nick Martinez has allowed a slugging percentage of .897 (26 Total Bases / 29 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .360 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .149 (13-for-87) against Nick Martinez’s non-fastballs this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .222 — 97th Percentile.

Nick Martinez has allowed an OPS of 1.476 (43 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 1.021 — fifth Percentile.

Germán Márquez: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .451 (23-for-51) against German Marquez on inside fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .266 — third Percentile.

German Marquez has allowed a slugging percentage of .843 (43 Total Bases / 51 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .429 — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .490 (24-for-49) against German Marquez on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .278 — first Percentile.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Padres are 24-12 (.667) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .488.

The Padres are 5-18 (.217) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .100.

The Padres are 19-3 (.864) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .721.

The Padres are just 33-4 (.892) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .925.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Rockies are 22-1 (.957) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .925.

The Rockies are 3-28 (.097) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .075.

The Rockies are just 4-13 (.235) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.

The Rockies are just 5-13 (.278) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.

Padres Hitting Stats & Trends

Padres hitters have chased 35% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 45% since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Padres hitters have put 40% of their swings in play with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Padres hitters have drawn 238 walks in 2,427 PA’s (10%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends

Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .637 (4,044 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.

The Rockies are batting .278 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

The Rockies are batting .288 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Rockies are batting .279 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Padres Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .181 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .222.

The Padres have won 62% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

The Padres have won 50% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .183 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .224.

Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends

The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 453.6

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Rockies pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rockies vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets

Garrett Hampson (Rockies): COVID-19, D10

Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Back, D10

Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60

Tyson Blach (Rockies): Wrist, D15

Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D15

Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60

Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60

William Myers (Padres): Knee, D10

Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60

Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Undisclosed, D60

Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60

Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60

Joseph Musgrove (Padres): COVID-19, D15

Robert Suarez (Padres): Knee, D15

Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D60

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