Padres vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 18

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 18, 2022, 11:18 AM
  • The Padres (41-25) are -125 favorites vs the Rockies (28-37)
  • Padres starting pitcher: Nicholas Martinez (2-3), 3.74 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Germán Márquez (3-5), 6.08 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet RM

The San Diego Padres (-125) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+105) on Saturday, June 18, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10pm EDT in Denver.

The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).

The Padres vs Rockies Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Padres are 41-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 32-33 ATS.

Padres vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Padres-1.5 +115O 11.5 -105-125
Rockies +1.5 -140U 11.5 -115+105

Padres vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Saturday‘s matchup with 63.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rockies vs Padres and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 away games (+8.45 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 15 away games (+8.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+7.95 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Trent Grisham has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+6.70 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Trent Grisham has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+6.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the RBIs Under in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+6.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Randal Grichuk has hit the RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.15 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.85 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 9 games at home (+5.45 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Charlie Blackmon has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.05 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Rockies vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Brendan Rodgers 0.5 +333 0.5 -600
    Brian Serven 0.5 +400 0.5 -700
    C.J. Cron 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
    Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
    Connor Joe 0.5 +360 0.5 -650

    Rockies vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Brian Serven 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
    C.J. Cron 1.5 +145 1.5 -200
    Charlie Blackmon 1.5 +145 1.5 -200
    Connor Joe 1.5 +135 1.5 -200
    Jose Iglesias 1.5 +150 1.5 -225

    Rockies vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Brendan Rodgers 0.5 -110 0.5 -130
    Brian Serven 0.5 +135 0.5 -200
    Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +135 0.5 -200
    Connor Joe 0.5 +130 0.5 -190
    Jose Iglesias 0.5 +130 0.5 -185

    Rockies vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    German Marquez 3.5 -175 3.5 +125
    Nick Martinez 3.5 -130 3.5 -110
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 35 away games (+18.80 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 away games (+13.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 24 of their last 41 games (+8.65 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 29 away games (+7.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games (+6.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 30 of their last 54 games (+6.10 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+2.80 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games (+1.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 37-29 against the Run Line (+8.3 Units / 9.79% ROI).

    • 41-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.2 Units / 11.18% ROI
    • 30-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.6 Units / -9.18% ROI
    • 34-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.1 Units / 1.49% ROI

    Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 32-33 against the Run Line (-7.15 Units / -8.71% ROI).

    • 28-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.65 Units / -5.17% ROI
    • 33-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.15 Units / 1.61% ROI
    • 29-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.65 Units / -10.63% ROI

    Opponents have a Well-Hit Avg of .483 (14/29) against Nick Martinez on fastballs away this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .232 — first Percentile.

    Nick Martinez has allowed a slugging percentage of .897 (26 Total Bases / 29 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .360 — first Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting just .149 (13-for-87) against Nick Martinez’s non-fastballs this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .222 — 97th Percentile.

    Nick Martinez has allowed an OPS of 1.476 (43 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 1.021 — fifth Percentile.

    Germán Márquez: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Opponents are hitting .451 (23-for-51) against German Marquez on inside fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .266 — third Percentile.

    German Marquez has allowed a slugging percentage of .843 (43 Total Bases / 51 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .429 — third Percentile.

    German Marquez has allowed a slugging percentage of .843 (43 Total Bases / 51 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .429 — third Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting .490 (24-for-49) against German Marquez on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .278 — first Percentile.

    Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

    The Padres are 24-12 (.667) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .488.

    The Padres are 5-18 (.217) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .100.

    The Padres are 19-3 (.864) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .721.

    The Padres are just 33-4 (.892) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .925.

    Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

    The Rockies are 22-1 (.957) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .925.

    The Rockies are 3-28 (.097) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .075.

    The Rockies are just 4-13 (.235) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.

    The Rockies are just 5-13 (.278) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.

    Padres hitters have chased 35% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

    Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 45% since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

    Padres hitters have put 40% of their swings in play with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

    Padres hitters have drawn 238 walks in 2,427 PA’s (10%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

    Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .637 (4,044 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.

    The Rockies are batting .278 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

    The Rockies are batting .288 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

    The Rockies are batting .279 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

    Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .181 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .222.

    The Padres have won 62% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

    The Padres have won 50% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

    Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .183 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .224.

    The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 453.6

    Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Rockies pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

    Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

    Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    Rockies vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Garrett Hampson (Rockies): COVID-19, D10
  • Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Back, D10
  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • Tyson Blach (Rockies): Wrist, D15
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D15
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • William Myers (Padres): Knee, D10
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Undisclosed, D60
  • Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
  • Joseph Musgrove (Padres): COVID-19, D15
  • Robert Suarez (Padres): Knee, D15
  • Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D60

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.