Padres vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 19

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 19, 2022, 12:00 PM
  • The Padres (41-26) are -140 favorites vs the Rockies (29-37)
  • Padres starting pitcher: Blake Snell (0-3), 5.04 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Antonio Senzatela (2-3), 4.78 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet RM

The San Diego Padres (-140) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+115) on Sunday, June 19, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver.

The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Padres vs Rockies Over/Under is 12.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Padres are 41-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 33-33 ATS.

Padres vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Padres-1.5 +105O 12.5 -115-140
Rockies +1.5 -125U 12.5 -105+115

Padres vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Sunday‘s matchup with 68.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 9 away games (+9.45 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+9.15 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 16 away games (+9.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Trent Grisham has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 21 away games (+7.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.40 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the RBIs Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+7.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Randal Grichuk has hit the RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.15 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+7.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.85 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Charlie Blackmon has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.05 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Rockies vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Brendan Rodgers 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
    C.J. Cron 0.5 +260 0.5 -450
    Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200
    Connor Joe 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
    Elias Diaz 0.5 +425 0.5 -800

    Rockies vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Brendan Rodgers 1.5 +165 1.5 -250
    C.J. Cron 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
    Charlie Blackmon 1.5 +145 1.5 -200
    Connor Joe 1.5 +185 1.5 -275
    Elias Diaz 0.5 -250 0.5 +165

    Rockies vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Brendan Rodgers 0.5 +115 0.5 -165
    C.J. Cron 0.5 +100 0.5 -145
    Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +125 0.5 -175
    Connor Joe 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
    Elias Diaz 0.5 +140 0.5 -200

    Rockies vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Antonio Senzatela 2.5 -130 2.5 -110
    Blake Snell 5.5 +115 5.5 -165
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 36 away games (+17.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 36 away games (+12.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 24 of their last 42 games (+7.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 away games (+5.85 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 16 games (+1.20 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 31 of their last 55 games (+7.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 51 games (+5.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+3.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 15 games (+1.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 37-30 against the Run Line (+7.3 Units / 8.51% ROI).

    • 41-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.05 Units / 9.8% ROI
    • 30-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.8 Units / -10.67% ROI
    • 35-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.1 Units / 2.81% ROI

    Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 33-33 against the Run Line (-6.15 Units / -7.37% ROI).

    • 29-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.65 Units / -3.7% ROI
    • 33-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.05 Units / -0.07% ROI
    • 30-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.65 Units / -9.11% ROI

    Blake Snell has walked 69 of 518 right-handed batters (13%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

    Blake Snell has a strike rate of just 60% (1,316/2,203) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.

    Blake Snell has allowed a slugging percentage of just .165 (57 Total Bases / 345 ABs) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: .272 — 98th Percentile.

    Blake Snell has walked 29 of 172 batters (17%) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.

    Antonio Senzatela: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Opponents are hitting .333 (31-for-93) against Antonio Senzatela when ahead in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .193 — 0 Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting .529 (18-for-34) against Antonio Senzatela’s inside fastball this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .264 — first Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting .529 (18-for-34) against Antonio Senzatela on inside fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .264 — first Percentile.

    Hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order are hitting .382 (50-for-131) against Antonio Senzatela this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .239 — 0 Percentile.

    Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

    The Padres are 24-13 (.649) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .491.

    The Padres are 12-3 (.800) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

    The Padres are 5-18 (.217) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .099.

    The Padres are just 33-4 (.892) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .926.

    Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

    The Rockies are 3-28 (.097) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .074.

    The Rockies are just 11-24 (.314) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

    The Rockies are just 26-28 (.481) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.

    The Rockies are just 5-13 (.278) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.

    The Padres have a winning percentage of 67% on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 49%.

    Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 45% since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

    Padres hitters have drawn 238 walks in 2,427 PA’s (10%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

    Padres hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

    The Rockies are batting .305 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.

    Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .637 (4,044 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.

    The Rockies are batting .288 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

    The Rockies are batting .278 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

    The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 486.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 455.2

    Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .182 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .222.

    The Padres have won 62% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

    Padres pitchers have walked 38 of 606 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 455.2

    Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    Rockies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 63 double plays in 489 opportunities (13%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

    Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

    Rockies vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Garrett Hampson (Rockies): COVID-19, D10
  • Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Back, D10
  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • Tyson Blach (Rockies): Wrist, D15
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D15
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • William Myers (Padres): Knee, D10
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Undisclosed, D60
  • Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
  • Joseph Musgrove (Padres): COVID-19, D15
  • Robert Suarez (Padres): Knee, D15
  • Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D60

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.