Padres vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 19

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 19, 2022, 11:08 AM
  • The Padres (41-26) are -140 favorites vs the Rockies (29-37)
  • Padres starting pitcher: Blake Snell (0-3), 5.04 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Antonio Senzatela (2-3), 4.78 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet RM

The San Diego Padres (-140) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+115) on Sunday, June 19, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver.

The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Padres vs Rockies Over/Under is 12.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Padres are 41-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 33-33 ATS.

Padres vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Padres-1.5 +105O 12.5 -115-140
Rockies +1.5 -125U 12.5 -105+115

Padres vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Sunday‘s matchup with 68.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rockies vs Padres and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 9 away games (+9.45 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+9.15 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 16 away games (+9.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Trent Grisham has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 21 away games (+7.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.40 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the RBIs Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+7.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Randal Grichuk has hit the RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.15 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+7.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.85 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Charlie Blackmon has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.05 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Rockies vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Brendan Rodgers 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
    C.J. Cron 0.5 +260 0.5 -450
    Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200
    Connor Joe 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
    Elias Diaz 0.5 +425 0.5 -800

    Rockies vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Brendan Rodgers 1.5 +165 1.5 -250
    C.J. Cron 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
    Charlie Blackmon 1.5 +145 1.5 -200
    Connor Joe 1.5 +185 1.5 -275
    Elias Diaz 0.5 -250 0.5 +165

    Rockies vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Brendan Rodgers 0.5 +115 0.5 -165
    C.J. Cron 0.5 +100 0.5 -145
    Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +125 0.5 -175
    Connor Joe 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
    Elias Diaz 0.5 +140 0.5 -200

    Rockies vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Antonio Senzatela 2.5 -130 2.5 -110
    Blake Snell 5.5 +115 5.5 -165
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 36 away games (+17.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 36 away games (+12.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 24 of their last 42 games (+7.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 away games (+5.85 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 16 games (+1.20 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 31 of their last 55 games (+7.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 51 games (+5.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+3.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 15 games (+1.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 37-30 against the Run Line (+7.3 Units / 8.51% ROI).

    • 41-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.05 Units / 9.8% ROI
    • 30-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.8 Units / -10.67% ROI
    • 35-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.1 Units / 2.81% ROI

    Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 33-33 against the Run Line (-6.15 Units / -7.37% ROI).

    • 29-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.65 Units / -3.7% ROI
    • 33-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.05 Units / -0.07% ROI
    • 30-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.65 Units / -9.11% ROI

    Blake Snell has walked 69 of 518 right-handed batters (13%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

    Blake Snell has a strike rate of just 60% (1,316/2,203) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.

    Blake Snell has allowed a slugging percentage of just .165 (57 Total Bases / 345 ABs) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: .272 — 98th Percentile.

    Blake Snell has walked 29 of 172 batters (17%) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.

    Antonio Senzatela: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Opponents are hitting .333 (31-for-93) against Antonio Senzatela when ahead in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .193 — 0 Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting .529 (18-for-34) against Antonio Senzatela’s inside fastball this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .264 — first Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting .529 (18-for-34) against Antonio Senzatela on inside fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .264 — first Percentile.

    Hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order are hitting .382 (50-for-131) against Antonio Senzatela this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .239 — 0 Percentile.

    Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

    The Padres are 24-13 (.649) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .491.

    The Padres are 12-3 (.800) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

    The Padres are 5-18 (.217) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .099.

    The Padres are just 33-4 (.892) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .926.

    Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

    The Rockies are 3-28 (.097) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .074.

    The Rockies are just 11-24 (.314) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

    The Rockies are just 26-28 (.481) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.

    The Rockies are just 5-13 (.278) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.

    The Padres have a winning percentage of 67% on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 49%.

    Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 45% since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

    Padres hitters have drawn 238 walks in 2,427 PA’s (10%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

    Padres hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

    The Rockies are batting .305 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.

    Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .637 (4,044 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.

    The Rockies are batting .288 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

    The Rockies are batting .278 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

    The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 486.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 455.2

    Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .182 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .222.

    The Padres have won 62% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

    Padres pitchers have walked 38 of 606 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 455.2

    Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    Rockies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 63 double plays in 489 opportunities (13%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

    Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

    Rockies vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Garrett Hampson (Rockies): COVID-19, D10
  • Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Back, D10
  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • Tyson Blach (Rockies): Wrist, D15
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D15
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • William Myers (Padres): Knee, D10
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Undisclosed, D60
  • Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
  • Joseph Musgrove (Padres): COVID-19, D15
  • Robert Suarez (Padres): Knee, D15
  • Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D60

  • Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rockies vs Padres and all MLB games with BetMGM


    Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

    At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

    About the Author

    BetMGM Betting

    Read More @BETMGM

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.