Padres vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 9

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 09, 2023, 3:32 PM
  • The Padres are -190 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Padres starting pitcher: Yu Darvish
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber
  • Watch the game on SportsNet RM

The San Diego Padres (-190) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+155) on Friday, June 9, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver.

The Padres are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).

The Padres vs Rockies Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.

This season, the Padres are 29-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 30-34 ATS.

Padres vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Padres-1.5 -125O 11 +100-190
Rockies +1.5 +105U 11 -120+155

Padres vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 79.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Padres vs Rockies and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nelson Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.50 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Manny Machado has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 12 games (+9.85 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Rougned Odor has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 14 away games (+8.80 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.20 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 32 of his last 50 games (+8.10 Units / 11% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Charlie Blackmon has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 17 games at home (+13.05 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+11.05 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 14 games at home (+10.65 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 41 games (+10.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 17 games at home (+9.35 Units / 46% ROI)

Rockies vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Randal Grichuk 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Jurickson Profar 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Brenton Doyle 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Rougned Odor 0.5 +425 0.5 -800

Rockies vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brenton Doyle 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Charlie Blackmon 1.5 +195 1.5 -250
Rougned Odor 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Elias Diaz 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Ha-seong Kim 1.5 +150 1.5 -200

Rockies vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Randal Grichuk 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Jurickson Profar 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Brenton Doyle 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Rougned Odor 0.5 +140 0.5 -185

Rockies vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yu Darvish 5.5 -145 5.5 +110
Austin Gomber 3.5 +105 3.5 -135
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 55 games (+21.70 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 52 games (+12.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 16 games (+5.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 25 away games (+3.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.95 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 52 games (+10.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games at home (+9.40 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 45 games (+8.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games (+7.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+6.25 Units / 26% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 31-31 against the Run Line (-4.1 Units / -5.19% ROI).

  • 29-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.4 Units / -17.35% ROI
  • 20-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.15 Units / -36.01% ROI
  • 40-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.45 Units / 27.6% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 30-34 against the Run Line (-7.15 Units / -9.39% ROI).

  • 26-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.7 Units / -7.01% ROI
  • 27-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.85 Units / -19.49% ROI
  • 37-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.8 Units / 11.17% ROI

Yu Darvish has thrown his slider 56% of the time (120/214) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.

Yu Darvish has thrown his slider 56% of the time (120/214) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 96th Percentile.

Yu Darvish has thrown off-speed pitches 67% of the time (143/214) when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — 97th Percentile.

Yu Darvish has thrown breaking pitches 58% of the time (125/214) when behind in the count this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 97th Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Austin Gomber has allowed an OBP of .425 (174 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: .319 — first Percentile.

Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .868 (33 Total Bases / 38 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .442 — first Percentile.

Austin Gomber has allowed an OPS of 1.048 (163 PA’s) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .720 — 0 Percentile.

Austin Gomber has allowed an OPS of 1.033 (176 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: .724 — first Percentile.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Padres are 5-6 (.455) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .266.

The Padres are 13-1 (.929) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .734.

The Padres are 24-3 (.889) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .786.

The Padres are just 5-30 (.143) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Rockies are just 32-16 (.667) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Rockies are just 47-40 (.540) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.

The Rockies are just 6-7 (.462) after a win as favorites since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .595.

The Rockies are just 4-14 (.222) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .421.

team hitters – away

The Rockies are batting .283 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Rockies hitters have an OBP of .344 (4,307 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .319.

The Rockies have won just 48% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Padres pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (1,508 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.

Padres pitchers have allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Padres pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 328 times this season — fewest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers have walked 66 of 556 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.46 (1028.0 IP) at home since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
  • Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Heel, D10
  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D15
  • Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
  • Christopher Cron (Rockies): Back, D10
  • Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow/Flexor, D60
  • José Castillo (Padres): Shoulder, D15
  • Jacob Lugo (Padres): Calf, D15
  • Xander Bogaerts (Padres): Wrist, Day-to-Day
  • Nelson Cruz (Padres): Hamstring, D10
  • Luis García (Padres): Oblique, D15
  • Robert Suarez (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Nabil Crismatt (Padres): Hip Strain, D15
  • Eguy Rosario (Padres): Ankle, D60
  • Luis Campusano (Padres): Thumb Sprain, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.