- The Padres are -190 favorites vs the Rockies
- Padres starting pitcher: Yu Darvish
- Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The San Diego Padres (-190) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+155) on Friday, June 9, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver.
The Padres are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).
The Padres vs Rockies Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.
This season, the Padres are 29-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 30-34 ATS.
Padres vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | -1.5 -125 | O 11 +100 | -190 |
| Rockies | +1.5 +105 | U 11 -120 | +155 |
Padres vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 79.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nelson Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.50 Units / 74% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 12 games (+9.85 Units / 82% ROI)
- Rougned Odor has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 14 away games (+8.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.20 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 32 of his last 50 games (+8.10 Units / 11% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 17 games at home (+13.05 Units / 77% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+11.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 14 games at home (+10.65 Units / 70% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 41 games (+10.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 17 games at home (+9.35 Units / 46% ROI)
Rockies vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Rougned Odor | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Rockies vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -250 |
| Rougned Odor | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 1.5 +150 | 1.5 -200 |
Rockies vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Rougned Odor | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Rockies vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yu Darvish | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
| Austin Gomber | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -135 |
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 55 games (+21.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 52 games (+12.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 16 games (+5.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 25 away games (+3.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.95 Units / 38% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 52 games (+10.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games at home (+9.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 45 games (+8.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games (+7.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+6.25 Units / 26% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 31-31 against the Run Line (-4.1 Units / -5.19% ROI).
- 29-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.4 Units / -17.35% ROI
- 20-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.15 Units / -36.01% ROI
- 40-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.45 Units / 27.6% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 30-34 against the Run Line (-7.15 Units / -9.39% ROI).
- 26-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.7 Units / -7.01% ROI
- 27-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.85 Units / -19.49% ROI
- 37-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.8 Units / 11.17% ROI
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yu Darvish has thrown his slider 56% of the time (120/214) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.
Yu Darvish has thrown his slider 56% of the time (120/214) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 96th Percentile.
Yu Darvish has thrown off-speed pitches 67% of the time (143/214) when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — 97th Percentile.
Yu Darvish has thrown breaking pitches 58% of the time (125/214) when behind in the count this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 97th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Austin Gomber has allowed an OBP of .425 (174 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: .319 — first Percentile.
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .868 (33 Total Bases / 38 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .442 — first Percentile.
Austin Gomber has allowed an OPS of 1.048 (163 PA’s) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .720 — 0 Percentile.
Austin Gomber has allowed an OPS of 1.033 (176 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: .724 — first Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Padres are 5-6 (.455) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Padres are 13-1 (.929) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
The Padres are 24-3 (.889) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .786.
The Padres are just 5-30 (.143) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Rockies are just 32-16 (.667) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Rockies are just 47-40 (.540) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Rockies are just 6-7 (.462) after a win as favorites since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .595.
The Rockies are just 4-14 (.222) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .421.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .283 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of .344 (4,307 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Rockies have won just 48% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Padres pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (1,508 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Padres pitchers have allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Padres pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 328 times this season — fewest in MLB.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have walked 66 of 556 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.46 (1028.0 IP) at home since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Heel, D10
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
- Christopher Cron (Rockies): Back, D10
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow/Flexor, D60
- José Castillo (Padres): Shoulder, D15
- Jacob Lugo (Padres): Calf, D15
- Xander Bogaerts (Padres): Wrist, Day-to-Day
- Nelson Cruz (Padres): Hamstring, D10
- Luis GarcÃa (Padres): Oblique, D15
- Robert Suarez (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Nabil Crismatt (Padres): Hip Strain, D15
- Eguy Rosario (Padres): Ankle, D60
- Luis Campusano (Padres): Thumb Sprain, D60
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