• The Padres are -190 favorites vs the Rockies
• Padres vs Rockies Over / Under today: 10.5 Runs
• Padres / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | PDTV

The San Diego Padres (-190) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+154) on September 17, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10 pm in Denver, CO.

This season, the Padres are 83-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 79-73 ATS.

Padres vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 11-9, 3.04 ERA
• Rockies starting pitcher: Tanner Gordon 1-4, 5.53 ERA

Padres vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 58.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

• Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+15.70 Units / 61% ROI)
• Michael King has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.00 Units / 45% ROI)
• Luis Campusano has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+12.30 Units / 33% ROI)
• Dustin Harris has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+11.55 Units / 65% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 away games (+10.45 Units / 47% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Cole Carrigg has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+17.10 Units / 285% ROI)
• Adael Amador has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.55 Units / 68% ROI)
• T.J. Rumfield has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.55 Units / 27% ROI)
• T.J. Rumfield has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.55 Units / 31% ROI)
• Mickey Moniak has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.30 Units / 26% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games (+11.95 Units / 18% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+11.35 Units / 18% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 away games (+10.25 Units / 26% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.60 Units / 16% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in their last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 90% ROI)

Rockies Best Bets Today:

• The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games (+12.00 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+7.95 Units / 60% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 58% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.85 Units / 44% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+1.65 Units / 21% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 82-67 against the Run Line (+10.9 Units / 5.48% ROI).

• 83-69 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.25 Units / 3.88% ROI
• 70-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.7 Units / -8.76% ROI
• 77-70 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.5 Units / 0.3% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 79-73 against the Run Line (-7.9 Units / -4.15% ROI).

• 56-96 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.4 Units / -9.4% ROI
• 74-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.05 Units / -4.17% ROI
• 73-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.4 Units / -4.47% ROI

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Padres are 58-5 (.921) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Padres are 13-8 (.619) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Padres are 65-2 (.970) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Padres are 58-8 (.879) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Rockies are just 37-27 (.578) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Rockies are just 25-24 (.510) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Rockies are just 33-25 (.569) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB.

The Rockies are just 56-96 (.368) this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres Hitting Stats & Trends

The Padres are batting .355 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Padres have a winning percentage of 61% at home this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Padres have won 93% of home games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Padres are batting .248 with two outs this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends

Rockies hitters have a swing rate of 52% this season — highest in MLB.

Rockies hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

The Rockies have won just 46% of games in which they have scored first this season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies hitters have a swing rate of 41% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB.

Padres Pitching Stats & Trends

Padres pitchers have an ERA of 3.36 (688.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Padres pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 299 times this season — tied for 4th fewest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have won 34% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 5th highest in MLB.

The Padres have won 44% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .288 against Rockies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 64% of their games this season — highest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 35% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.87 (672.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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