Padres vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 23

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 23, 2022, 3:31 PM
  • The Padres (83-67) are -160 favorites vs the Rockies (64-86)
  • Padres starting pitcher: Sean Manaea (7-9), 5.17 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Ryan Feltner (3-8), 6.05 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet RM

The San Diego Padres (-160) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+135) on Friday, September 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Denver.

The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Padres vs Rockies Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Padres are 82-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 79-69 ATS.

Padres vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Padres-1.5 -110O 11 -105-160
Rockies +1.5 -110U 11 -115+135

Padres vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Friday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rockies vs Padres and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 44 of his last 56 away games (+23.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 34 away games (+22.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 31 games (+15.05 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+13.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Total Bases Under in 38 of his last 56 away games (+12.25 Units / 14% ROI)

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • German Marquez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+12.75 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 23 games at home (+12.05 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Yonathan Daza has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+11.95 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Kyle Freeland has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.30 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Yonathan Daza has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+10.80 Units / 38% ROI)

Rockies vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alan Trejo 0.5 +425 0.5 -900
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Connor Joe 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Elehuris Montero 0.5 +280 0.5 -450
Elias Diaz 0.5 +425 0.5 -800

Rockies vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alan Trejo 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Charlie Blackmon 1.5 +150 1.5 -225
Connor Joe 1.5 +185 1.5 -275
Elehuris Montero 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Elias Diaz 0.5 -250 0.5 +175

Rockies vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alan Trejo 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +125 0.5 -175
Connor Joe 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Elehuris Montero 0.5 +110 0.5 -155
Elias Diaz 0.5 +150 0.5 -225

Rockies vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan Feltner 3.5 +110 3.5 -160
Sean Manaea 3.5 -140 3.5 +100
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 63 of their last 125 games (+7.35 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.25 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 74% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.95 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 away games (+4.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 35 of their last 59 games (+11.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 22 games (+3.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.10 Units / 6% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 65-83 against the Run Line (-24.15 Units / -13.13% ROI).

  • 82-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.3 Units / -5.06% ROI
  • 70-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.8 Units / -7.22% ROI
  • 75-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.9 Units / -1.15% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 79-69 against the Run Line (+2.25 Units / 1.23% ROI).

  • 63-86 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.85 Units / -3.05% ROI
  • 69-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.15 Units / -6.81% ROI
  • 72-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -2.71% ROI

Sean Manaea has thrown elevated pitches 41% of the time (1,631/4,006) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Sean Manaea has allowed a slugging percentage of .523 (127 Total Bases / 243 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: .367 — first Percentile.

Sean Manaea has thrown elevated pitches 38% of the time (1,333/3,546) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 94th Percentile.

Sean Manaea has thrown elevated pitches 39% of the time (371/949) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 96th Percentile.

Ryan Feltner: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

The average home run distance against Ryan Feltner this season is 417.9 feet — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 398.1

Ryan Feltner has an ERA of 6.05 (80.1 IP)this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 3.80 — second Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 24% (164/693) against Ryan Feltner this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 30% — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .404 (23-for-57) against Ryan Feltner on low fastballs this season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: .277 — seventh Percentile.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Padres are 43-35 (.551) on the road this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .473.

The Padres are 20-2 (.909) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.

The Padres are just 3-53 (.054) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Padres are 66-7 (.904) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .881.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Rockies are just 24-48 (.333) on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .473.

The Rockies are just 57-70 (.449) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The Rockies are 13-66 (.165) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .119.

The Rockies are just 7-16 (.304) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Padres hitters have just 5 strikeouts in 48 PA’s (10%) against LHP over the past seven days (5 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

The Padres are batting just .138 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.

Padres hitters have put 39% of their swings in play against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Padres hitters are slugging just .366 at home this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.

The Rockies are batting .310 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.

The Rockies are batting .282 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Rockies are batting .284 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 412.0 feet since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.4.

Padres pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Padres pitchers this month (18 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .196 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .223.

Padres pitchers have walked 79 of 1,338 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

The average home run distance against the Rockies pitchers since the start of last season is 407.9 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.4

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rockies pitchers have won only 9% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Rockies pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 60% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.

Rockies vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): ACL, D15
  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Hamstring, D10
  • José Iglesias (Rockies): Hand, D10
  • Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Foot, D10
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D15
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.