- The Padres (83-67) are -160 favorites vs the Rockies (64-86)
- Padres starting pitcher: Sean Manaea (7-9), 5.17 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Ryan Feltner (3-8), 6.05 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The San Diego Padres (-160) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+135) on Friday, September 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Denver.
The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Padres vs Rockies Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Padres are 82-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 79-69 ATS.
Padres vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | -1.5 -110 | O 11 -105 | -160 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -110 | U 11 -115 | +135 |
Padres vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Friday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 44 of his last 56 away games (+23.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 34 away games (+22.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 31 games (+15.05 Units / 46% ROI)
- Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+13.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Total Bases Under in 38 of his last 56 away games (+12.25 Units / 14% ROI)
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- German Marquez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+12.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 23 games at home (+12.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Yonathan Daza has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+11.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- Kyle Freeland has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- Yonathan Daza has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+10.80 Units / 38% ROI)
Rockies vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alan Trejo | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Rockies vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alan Trejo | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 1.5 +150 | 1.5 -225 |
| Connor Joe | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -275 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Rockies vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alan Trejo | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -175 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -155 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
Rockies vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Feltner | 3.5 +110 | 3.5 -160 |
| Sean Manaea | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +100 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 63 of their last 125 games (+7.35 Units / 5% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.25 Units / 47% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.95 Units / 51% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 away games (+4.90 Units / 22% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rockies: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 35 of their last 59 games (+11.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 22 games (+3.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.10 Units / 6% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 65-83 against the Run Line (-24.15 Units / -13.13% ROI).
- 82-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.3 Units / -5.06% ROI
- 70-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.8 Units / -7.22% ROI
- 75-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.9 Units / -1.15% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 79-69 against the Run Line (+2.25 Units / 1.23% ROI).
- 63-86 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.85 Units / -3.05% ROI
- 69-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.15 Units / -6.81% ROI
- 72-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -2.71% ROI
Sean Manaea: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sean Manaea has thrown elevated pitches 41% of the time (1,631/4,006) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Sean Manaea has allowed a slugging percentage of .523 (127 Total Bases / 243 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: .367 — first Percentile.
Sean Manaea has thrown elevated pitches 38% of the time (1,333/3,546) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 94th Percentile.
Sean Manaea has thrown elevated pitches 39% of the time (371/949) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 96th Percentile.
Ryan Feltner: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Ryan Feltner this season is 417.9 feet — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 398.1
Ryan Feltner has an ERA of 6.05 (80.1 IP)this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 3.80 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 24% (164/693) against Ryan Feltner this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 30% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .404 (23-for-57) against Ryan Feltner on low fastballs this season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: .277 — seventh Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Padres are 43-35 (.551) on the road this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .473.
The Padres are 20-2 (.909) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Padres are just 3-53 (.054) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Padres are 66-7 (.904) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .881.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Rockies are just 24-48 (.333) on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .473.
The Rockies are just 57-70 (.449) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Rockies are 13-66 (.165) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Rockies are just 7-16 (.304) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have just 5 strikeouts in 48 PA’s (10%) against LHP over the past seven days (5 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Padres are batting just .138 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.
Padres hitters have put 39% of their swings in play against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Padres hitters are slugging just .366 at home this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .310 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Rockies are batting .282 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies are batting .284 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 412.0 feet since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.4.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Padres pitchers this month (18 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .196 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .223.
Padres pitchers have walked 79 of 1,338 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against the Rockies pitchers since the start of last season is 407.9 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.4
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies pitchers have won only 9% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 60% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Rockies vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): ACL, D15
- Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Hamstring, D10
- José Iglesias (Rockies): Hand, D10
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Foot, D10
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
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