- The Padres (68-58) are -190 favorites vs the Royals (51-75)
- Padres starting pitcher: , ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: , ERA
- Watch the game on BSKC
The San Diego Padres (-190) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+155) on Friday, August 26, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Padres vs Royals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Padres are 66-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 58-65 ATS.
Padres vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Padres | -1.5 -115 | O 8.5 -110 | -190 |
Royals | +1.5 -105 | U 8.5 -110 | +155 |
Padres vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Friday‘s matchup with 60.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 56-67 against the Run Line (-14.2 Units / -9.35% ROI).
- 66-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.9 Units / -6.53% ROI
- 57-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.35 Units / -8.46% ROI
- 63-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.2 Units / -0.15% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 58-65 against the Run Line (-18.75 Units / -11.64% ROI).
- 51-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.2 Units / -7.03% ROI
- 61-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.7 Units / -2% ROI
- 58-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.4 Units / -6.91% ROI
: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .185 (41-for-222) against Yu Darvish’s non-fastballs this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .217 — 86th Percentile.
Yu Darvish has walked 11 of 281 right-handed batters (4%) this season — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 89th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .095 (6-for-63) against Yu Darvish’s elevated fastball this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: .225 — 100th Percentile.
Yu Darvish has a strike rate of 70% (484/688) in two strike counts this season — tied for 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 89th Percentile.
: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kris Bubic has allowed an OPS of 1.084 (372 PA’s) versus the top of the order since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: .763 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .398 (33-for-83) against Kris Bubic when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: .261 — first Percentile.
Kris Bubic has allowed an OBP of .430 (165 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: .319 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 17% (231/1,367) against Kris Bubic in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Padres are 22-8 (.733) when scoring in the first inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .665.
The Padres are 17-2 (.895) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Padres are 33-30 (.524) on the road this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .470.
The Padres are just 7-136 (.049) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Royals are just 3-33 (.083) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.
The Royals are just 2-59 (.033) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .113.
The Royals are just 39-7 (.848) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .887.
The Royals are just 51-64 (.443) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have drawn 79 walks in 660 PA’s (12%) against RHP this month (23 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Padres hitters have drawn 60 walks in 472 PA’s (13%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Padres hitters have drawn 318 walks in 3,346 PA’s (10%) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 58% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 571 strikeouts in 2,933 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .979 (2,055 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.085.
The Royals are batting just .169 on the road this month (10 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Royals hitters are slugging just .260 on the road this month (10 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .381.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have walked 44 of 851 batters (5%) this month (23 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 486.0 feet — — 3rd longest in MLB; League Avg: 459.6
Padres pitchers have walked 67 of 1,126 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Padres pitchers have won 39% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have allowed 1.79 runs per game (225/126) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Royals pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 60% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
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