Padres vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 18

Kansas City Royals' Vinnie Pasquantino at bat during the first inning of a baseball game against the Toronto Blue Jays, Monday, April 3, 2023, in Kansas City, Mo.
(AP Photo/Reed Hoffmann)
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  • The Padres are -110 favorites vs the Royals
  • Padres vs Royals Over / Under today: 11 Runs
  • Padres / Royals TV Channel: RYTV | PDTV

The San Diego Padres (-110) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-110) on July 18, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Padres are against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are ATS.

Padres vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Padres starting pitcher: Griffin Canning 1-7, 6.55 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 5-7, 3.84 ERA

Padres vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Padres-1.5 +140O 11 -120-110
Royals +1.5 -170U 11 +100-110

Padres vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.95 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 away games (+10.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Miguel Andujar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.10 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+9.00 Units / 225% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Walks Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 47% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Lane Thomas has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+13.20 Units / 165% ROI)
  • Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+10.45 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Carter Jensen has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.85 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Isaac Collins has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.55 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Carter Jensen has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.40 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.25 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 50 away games (+4.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games (+4.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 40 away games (+3.40 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.45 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.45 Units / 7% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Royals vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Jake Cronenworth +550
Isaac Collins +650
Sung-mun Song +800

Royals vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bobby Witt Jr. 1.5 +155 1.5 -210
Xander Bogaerts 1.5 +180 1.5 -250

Royals vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 -140 0.5 +105
Ty France 0.5 -105 0.5 -125
Nick Loftin 0.5 +120 0.5 -160
Sung-mun Song 0.5 +125 0.5 -165

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Padres are 36-1 (.973) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .902.

The Padres are 32-5 (.865) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .794.

The Padres are 10-5 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Padres are 38-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .946.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Royals are just 31-6 (.838) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .946.

The Royals are just 19-40 (.322) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .482.

The Royals are just 30-8 (.789) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .902.

The Royals are just 5-25 (.167) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.

The Padres are batting just .226 this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters are slugging just .371 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .666 (817 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .673 (3,569 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

The Royals have a winning percentage of just 34% on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters have an OPS of just .467 (1,900 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters are slugging just .185 on pitches out of the zone this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Royals are batting .249 with two outs this season — 4th best in MLB.

Padres pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .268 against Padres pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB.

The Padres pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 67% of their games at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 444.6 feet — — 2nd shortest in MLB

Royals pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have an ERA of 4.92 (862.2 IP) this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.