Padres vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 19

Kansas City Royals' Bobby Witt Jr. during a baseball game against the Colorado Rockies in Kansas City, Mo., Saturday, June 3, 2023.
(AP Photo/Colin E. Braley)
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  • The Royals are -130 favorites vs the Padres
  • Padres vs Royals Over / Under today: 10 Runs
  • Padres / Royals TV Channel: RYTV | PDTV

The San Diego Padres (+105) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-130) on July 19, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 pm in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Padres are 48-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 42-54 ATS.

Padres vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Padres starting pitcher: German Marquez 4-2, 5.27 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Noah Cameron 5-7, 4.86 ERA

Padres vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Padres+1.5 -175O 10 -110+105
Royals -1.5 +145U 10 -110-130

Padres vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.95 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+13.65 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Miguel Andujar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.20 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 away games (+9.95 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+9.00 Units / 225% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Lane Thomas has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+18.50 Units / 206% ROI)
  • Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.40 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Isaac Collins has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.90 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Isaac Collins has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.35 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 50 away games (+4.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 45 away games (+4.45 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.95 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+2.50 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.65 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 44% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 50-46 against the Run Line (-2.45 Units / -1.88% ROI).

  • 48-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.85 Units / -4.22% ROI
  • 43-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.15 Units / -14.01% ROI
  • 53-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +6 Units / 5.57% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 42-54 against the Run Line (-27.05 Units / -19.47% ROI).

  • 40-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -21 Units / -18.99% ROI
  • 48-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.65 Units / -6.1% ROI
  • 50-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.4 Units / -2.2% ROI

Royals vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Manny Machado +280
Bobby Witt Jr. +340
Jac Caglianone +360
Carter Jensen +390
Salvador Perez +390

Royals vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ty France 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Carter Jensen 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Vinnie Pasquantino 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Salvador Perez 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Lane Thomas 0.5 -220 0.5 +160

Royals vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jase Bowen 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Carter Jensen 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Jackson Merrill 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Jac Caglianone 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Padres are 10-5 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Padres are 32-5 (.865) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .794.

The Padres are 36-1 (.973) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .902.

The Padres are 38-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .947.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Royals are just 5-35 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

The Royals are just 19-40 (.322) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .484.

The Royals are just 5-25 (.167) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .302.

The Royals are just 3-43 (.065) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .136.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .676 (2,780 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters are slugging just .372 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters are slugging just .356 against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

The Padres are batting just .226 this season — lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters have an OPS of just .470 (1,916 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Royals have a winning percentage of just 40% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Royals have a winning percentage of just 34% on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Royals are batting .249 with two outs this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Padres pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.

The Padres pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 67% of their games at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 444.6 feet — — 2nd shortest in MLB

Padres pitchers have allowed an OBP of .335 (865 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.