- The Padres are -105 favorites vs the Tigers
- Padres vs Tigers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Padres / Tigers TV Channel: FDDT | PDTV
The San Diego Padres (-105) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-115) on Tuesday, April 22, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI, MI.
This season, the Padres are 16-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 15-8 ATS.
Padres vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Padres starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta 3-1, 1.57 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 1-1, 2.49 ERA
Padres vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | -1.5 +165 | O 7.5 -120 | -105 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -200 | U 7.5 +100 | -115 |
Padres vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Padres vs Tigers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+12.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+11.55 Units / 58% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+11.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.80 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+15.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+12.70 Units / 127% ROI)
- Trey Sweeney has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+9.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+9.10 Units / 43% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 games (+9.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 23 games (+4.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.40 Units / 16% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+9.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+8.80 Units / 72% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+6.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.55 Units / 46% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 14-9 against the Run Line (+4.35 Units / 14.57% ROI).
- 16-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.1 Units / 29.98% ROI
- 10-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -3 Units / -12% ROI
- 12-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.7 Units / 2.73% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 15-8 against the Run Line (+6.85 Units / 22.76% ROI).
- 14-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.75 Units / 15.4% ROI
- 10-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.1 Units / -8.22% ROI
- 11-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.3 Units / 1.2% ROI
Tigers vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Dillon Dingler (DET) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1200 |
Tigers vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gleyber Torres (DET) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jose Iglesias (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Oscar Gonzalez (SD) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Tigers vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Tigers vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jack Flaherty (DET) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -118 |
| Nick Pivetta (SD) | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -140 |
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Pivetta has allowed an OPS of just .278 (45 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .693 — 98th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .098 (4-for-41) against Nick Pivetta this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .056 (1-for-18) against Nick Pivetta’s elevated fastball this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .215 — 96th Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has allowed an OBP of just .111 (45 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jack Flaherty has thrown low pitches 61% of the time (155/255) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has a strikeout rate of 39% (14 SO in 36 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 95th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty walked 9 of 252 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of 32% (393/1,223) against Jack Flaherty in the 2024 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Padres are 2-5 (.286) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .116.
The Padres are 76-8 (.905) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .808.
The Padres are 12-1 (.923) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .611.
The Padres are 52-39 (.571) on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .467.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Tigers are 1-8 (.111) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .033.
The Tigers were 18-54 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Tigers are 7-67 (.095) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
The Padres are batting .274 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Padres hitters struck out just 278 times in 1,617 PA’s (17%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres hitters have struck out in just 17% of it’s PA’s against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres hitters have struck out in just 17% of it’s PA’s this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .300 (741 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Tigers hitters slugged just .171 on pitches out of the zone in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .263 (1,445 PA’s) when leading off an inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .305.
Tigers hitters had an OPS of just .679 (4,707 PA’s) against RHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 26% of their games this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.2 MPH since the 2023 season (8,425 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
The Padres have allowed 0.35 runs per game (8/23) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.31.
Padres pitchers have an ERA of 1.30 (118.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.52.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers walked 416 of 5,969 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 3.11 (202.1 IP) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.99.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 1.89 (100.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.52.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Padres vs Tigers and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
