Padres vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 26

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 26, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Padres (54-44) are -185 favorites vs the Tigers (39-58)
  • Padres starting pitcher: Michael Clevinger (2-3), 3.49 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Garrett Hill (1-2), 5.62 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSDET

The San Diego Padres (-185) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+150) on Tuesday, July 26, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Detroit.

The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Padres vs Tigers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Padres are 54-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 45-52 ATS.

Padres vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Padres-1.5 -110O 8 -105-185
Tigers +1.5 -110U 8 -115+150

Padres vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 72.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 28 games (+12.70 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.20 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Trent Grisham has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 34 away games (+12.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 33 away games (+11.05 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 47 away games (+10.45 Units / 18% ROI)

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 31 games (+10.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+8.80 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Eric Haase has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+8.70 Units / 22% ROI)

Tigers vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Harold Castro 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
Javier Baez 0.5 +400 0.5 -800
Jeimer Candelario 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Jonathan Schoop 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Miguel Cabrera 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200

Tigers vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Akil Baddoo 0.5 -145 0.5 +100
Javier Baez 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Jeimer Candelario 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Jonathan Schoop 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
Miguel Cabrera 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Tigers vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Akil Baddoo 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Harold Castro 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Javier Baez 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Jeimer Candelario 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Jonathan Schoop 0.5 +210 0.5 -350

Tigers vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Garrett Hill 3.5 -135 3.5 -105
Mike Clevinger 5.5 -115 5.5 -120
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 39 of their last 73 games (+9.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 51 away games (+8.25 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 63 games (+6.10 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 51 away games (+5.90 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 94 games (+16.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 28 of their last 43 games (+12.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games at home (+8.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.70 Units / 31% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 46-52 against the Run Line (-7.15 Units / -5.89% ROI).

  • 54-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.45 Units / -0.33% ROI
  • 44-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.6 Units / -11.79% ROI
  • 52-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.3 Units / 3.02% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 45-52 against the Run Line (-15.2 Units / -12.31% ROI).

  • 39-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.3 Units / -8.97% ROI
  • 37-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.7 Units / -21.29% ROI
  • 55-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.95 Units / 13.93% ROI

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 23% (4/17) against Mike Clevinger — tied for 4th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — 10th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (8/30) against Mike Clevinger this month (3 games) — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — eighth Percentile.

Mike Clevinger has allowed an OPS of just .195 (21 PA’s) with two-strikes — 4th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .511 — 96th Percentile.

Mike Clevinger has allowed a slugging percentage of .615 (16 Total Bases / 26 ABs) vs left-handed batters — 6th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .366 — ninth Percentile.

Garrett Hill: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitless in 17 AB’s against Garrett Hill versus the bottom of the order this month (3 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (16/127) against Garrett Hill this month (3 games) — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.

Garrett Hill has allowed at least one HR in each of his last three games dating back to July 4th — Miles Mikolas has the longest active streak at 5.

Garrett Hill has struck out just 10% (4/39) of right-handed batters he faced this month (3 games) — tied for 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 22% — eighth Percentile.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Padres are 8-6 (.571) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Padres are 15-4 (.789) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

The Padres are just 2-33 (.057) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Padres are 29-23 (.558) on the road this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .478.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Tigers are just 4-42 (.087) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.

The Tigers are just 3-20 (.130) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.

The Tigers are just 16-32 (.333) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.

The Tigers are just 39-50 (.438) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .642 (1,673 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.

Padres hitters have just 19 strikeouts in 134 PA’s (14%) against LHP over the last 14 days (9 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Padres hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,363 of their 4,126 plate appearances (33%) versus relief pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Padres hitters have an OBP of just .303 (1,673 PA’s) at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .272 (2,571 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .580 (1,721 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .700.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .586 (2,571 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .314 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.

The Padres have won 52% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 486.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 457.4

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Padres have won just just 0% of the time at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .189 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .223.

Tigers pitchers have won only 5% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 62% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Tigers vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D15
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
  • Wily Peralta (Tigers): Hamstring, D15
  • Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D15
  • Michael Pineda (Tigers): Triceps, D15
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • William Myers (Padres): Knee, D10
  • MacKenzie Gore (Padres): Elbow, Day-to-Day
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Paul Abrams (Padres): Biceps, Day-to-Day
  • Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
  • Robert Suarez (Padres): Knee, D60
  • Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D60
  • Craig Stammen (Padres): Shoulder, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.