Phillies vs Angels Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 28

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  • The Phillies are -145 favorites vs the Angels
  • Phillies vs Angels Over / Under today: 8 Runs
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The Philadelphia Phillies (-145) visit Angel Stadium of Anaheim to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+118) on August 28, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38 pm in Anaheim, CA.

This season, the Phillies are 74-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 66-67 ATS.

Phillies vs Angels Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Phillies starting pitcher: Andrew Painter 3-8, 6.05 ERA
  • Angels starting pitcher: Reid Detmers 4-8, 3.67 ERA

Phillies vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phillies-1.5 +120O 8 -105-145
Angels +1.5 -145U 8 -115+118

Phillies vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s MLB game with 58.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Bryce Harper has hit the Walks Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+15.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 15 away games (+9.95 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • J.T. Realmuto has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 away games (+9.00 Units / 90% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Zach Neto has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+9.55 Units / 106% ROI)
  • Zach Neto has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Jose Siri has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Reid Detmers has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.65 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Vaughn Grissom has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+7.75 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 away games (+12.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.75 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.50 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.50 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games (+5.25 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 40 games (+22.00 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 50 games (+18.95 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 45 games at home (+12.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+9.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.55 Units / 18% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 54-79 against the Run Line (-30.45 Units / -19.49% ROI).

  • 74-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.8 Units / -1.88% ROI
  • 61-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.45 Units / -7.74% ROI
  • 66-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.6 Units / -0.41% ROI

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Angels are 66-67 against the Run Line (-21.35 Units / -11.54% ROI).

  • 52-82 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.2 Units / -14.88% ROI
  • 54-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.1 Units / -20.42% ROI
  • 77-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.15 Units / 12.31% ROI

Angels vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Kyle Schwarber +230
Mike Trout +340
Bryce Harper +360
Zachary Neto +375
Alec Bohm +450

Angels vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Bohm 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Trea Turner 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Zachary Neto 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Vaughn Grissom 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Bryce Harper 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Angels vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Denzer Guzman 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Moises Ballesteros 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Bryson Stott 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Vaughn Grissom 0.5 -160 0.5 +120
Alec Bohm 0.5 -155 0.5 +115

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Phillies are 19-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are 6-54 (.100) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

The Phillies are 14-49 (.222) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Phillies are 32-16 (.667) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Angels (21st fewest runs allowed).

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Angels are just 45-10 (.818) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB.

The Angels are just 4-34 (.105) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB.

The Angels are just 4-14 (.222) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB.

The Angels are just 45-26 (.634) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have 121 extra-base hits out of 244 total hits (50%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .294 (2,476 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

The Phillies are just 17-31 (.354) against the run line (-22.4% ROI) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Angels (24th in runs scored).

The Phillies are batting just .226 on the road this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Angels hitters have an OPS of just .633 (2,481 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB.

Angels hitters are slugging just .334 at home this season — lowest in MLB.

Angels hitters have put just 34% of their swings in play this season — lowest in MLB.

Angels hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Phillies pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Angels pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — tied for highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Angels pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Angels won just 13% of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Angels pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.