Phillies vs Athletics Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 16

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 16, 2023, 3:30 PM
  • The Phillies are -130 favorites vs the Athletics
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker
  • Athletics starting pitcher: John Patrick Sears
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CA

The Philadelphia Phillies (-130) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+110) on Friday, June 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland.

The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Phillies vs Athletics Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Phillies are 35-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 31-40 ATS.

Phillies vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phillies-1.5 +125O 8.5 -115-130
Athletics +1.5 -155U 8.5 -105+110

Phillies vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 66.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+13.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 42 games (+12.15 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 48 games (+10.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Kody Clemens has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.25 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 31 of his last 49 games (+10.15 Units / 17% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ryan Noda has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 23 games (+14.65 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.15 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+9.10 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Ryan Noda has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+8.95 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+8.35 Units / 27% ROI)

Athletics vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryce Harper 0.5 +425 0.5 -900
Seth Brown 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Kyle Schwarber 0.5 +300 0.5 -550
Brent Rooker 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100

Athletics vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryce Harper 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Seth Brown 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Kyle Schwarber 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Brent Rooker 0.5 -155 0.5 +115

Athletics vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryce Harper 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Seth Brown 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Kyle Schwarber 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Brent Rooker 0.5 +210 0.5 -275

Athletics vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
JP Sears 5.5 -110 5.5 -120
Taijuan Walker 4.5 -165 4.5 +125
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.90 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 52 games (+7.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+6.95 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 27 away games (+6.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 57 games (+12.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+11.25 Units / 125% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.85 Units / 80% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.20 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+7.30 Units / 73% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 28-41 against the Run Line (-20.45 Units / -22.96% ROI).

  • 35-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.85 Units / -8.27% ROI
  • 28-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.1 Units / -12.02% ROI
  • 34-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.45 Units / 4.53% ROI

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 31-40 against the Run Line (-11.1 Units / -13.97% ROI).

  • 19-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.1 Units / -26.84% ROI
  • 36-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.35 Units / 0.44% ROI
  • 32-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.95 Units / -9% ROI

Taijuan Walker has a strike rate of just 57% (199/351) in two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 11% (8/73) against Taijuan Walker on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 27% — 0 Percentile.

Taijuan Walker has an ERA of 6.75 (37.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 4.09 — third Percentile.

Taijuan Walker has a strike rate of just 61% (705/1,153) this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.

Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 8% (9/112) against JP Sears on breaking pitches since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 91 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (55/197) against JP Sears this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 26% (40/155) against JP Sears this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 43% (43/101) against JP Sears with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 98th Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Phillies are 8-3 (.727) after a win as underdogs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .450.

The Phillies are just 6-16 (.273) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .387.

The Phillies are 33-25 (.569) after a road win since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .489.

The Phillies are just 3-19 (.136) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Athletics are just 9-4 (.692) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .894.

The Athletics are just 10-5 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .854.

The Athletics are just 9-25 (.265) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Athletics are just 60-12 (.833) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.

Phillies hitters are slugging .513 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .445.

Phillies hitters are slugging .418 against RHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .397.

The Phillies are batting .264 on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

The Phillies are batting .265 with two outs this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .239.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .283 (4,169 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

The Athletics are batting just .208 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

The Athletics are batting just .191 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.

The Athletics are batting just .226 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Phillies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 30 double plays in 452 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

The Phillies have won just 6% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Phillies pitchers have walked 137 of 2,034 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Phillies pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 383 times this season — 3rd fewest in MLB.

Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 49% of the time after an opposing score this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Athletics have allowed 6.75 runs per game (243/36) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.57.

Athletics vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Richard Lovelady (Athletics): Elbow, Day-to-Day
  • Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
  • Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
  • Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D60
  • Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D15
  • Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D15
  • Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Undisclosed, D15
  • Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60
  • Darick Hall (Phillies): Thumb, D60
  • Rhys Hoskins (Phillies): ACL, D60
  • Rafael Marchán (Phillies): Hand, D60
  • Noah Song (Phillies): Back, D60
  • Cristian Pache (Phillies): Knee, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.