Phillies vs Athletics Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 17

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 17, 2023, 3:32 PM
  • The Phillies are -175 favorites vs the Athletics
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sánchez
  • Athletics starting pitcher: James Kaprielian
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CA

The Philadelphia Phillies (-175) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+145) on Saturday, June 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Oakland.

The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Phillies vs Athletics Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Phillies are 36-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 31-41 ATS.

Phillies vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phillies-1.5 -110O 9.5 -120-175
Athletics +1.5 -110U 9.5 +100+145

Phillies vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 76.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Phillies vs Athletics and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+13.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 32 of his last 50 games (+11.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 43 games (+11.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 49 games (+9.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • J.T. Realmuto has hit the RBIs Over in his last 6 away games (+9.50 Units / 158% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ryan Noda has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 24 games (+13.65 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.15 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+9.10 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 44 games (+8.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Seth Brown has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+8.05 Units / 37% ROI)

Athletics vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryce Harper 0.5 +290 0.5 -500
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Kyle Schwarber 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Brandon Marsh 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Brent Rooker 0.5 +475 0.5 -1100

Athletics vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryce Harper 1.5 +175 1.5 -250
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Kyle Schwarber 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Brandon Marsh 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Brent Rooker 0.5 -150 0.5 +115

Athletics vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryce Harper 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Kyle Schwarber 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Brandon Marsh 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Brent Rooker 0.5 +190 0.5 -250

Athletics vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cristopher Sanchez 4.5 +115 4.5 -150
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.90 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 53 games (+8.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+7.95 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 28 away games (+7.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 58 games (+13.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+10.25 Units / 102% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.45 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games (+7.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.90 Units / 54% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 29-41 against the Run Line (-19.25 Units / -21.38% ROI).

  • 36-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.85 Units / -7.11% ROI
  • 28-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.2 Units / -13.28% ROI
  • 35-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.45 Units / 5.76% ROI

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 31-41 against the Run Line (-12.5 Units / -15.46% ROI).

  • 19-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.1 Units / -27.86% ROI
  • 36-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -0.94% ROI
  • 33-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.95 Units / -7.6% ROI

No Matchup notes for this Game

Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

James Kaprielian has a strikeout rate of just 19% (5 SO in 26 PAs) with two-strikes — 3rd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .429 (21 GB hits out of 49 GBs) against James Kaprielian this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: .244 — first Percentile.

James Kaprielian has walked 5 of 25 right-handed batters (20%) — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

James Kaprielian has walked 16 of 79 batters (20%) with runners in scoring position this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 9% — third Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Phillies are just 2-23 (.080) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .215.

The Phillies are 20-87 (.187) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .126.

The Phillies are just 3-19 (.136) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.

The Phillies are just 8-15 (.348) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Athletics are just 9-4 (.692) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.

The Athletics are just 11-3 (.786) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.

The Athletics are just 9-27 (.250) at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .527.

The Athletics are just 65-8 (.890) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.

Phillies hitters have chased 35% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Phillies hitters have drawn 48 walks in 842 PA’s (6%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .298 (842 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.

The Phillies are batting .263 with two outs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .238.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .283 (4,202 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .286 (6,343 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

The Athletics are batting just .189 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.

Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .630 (6,343 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .710.

Phillies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 30 double plays in 457 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Phillies pitchers have walked 137 of 2,043 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Phillies pitchers have walked 43 of 612 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Athletics pitchers have walked 322 of 2,874 batters (11%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.20 (631.2 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.28.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 7.05 (300.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.

Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 49% of the time after an opposing score this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Athletics vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kevin Smith (Athletics): Back, D10
  • Richard Lovelady (Athletics): Elbow, D15
  • Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
  • Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
  • Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D60
  • Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D15
  • Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D15
  • Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Undisclosed, D15
  • Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60
  • Nicholas Castellanos (Phillies): Illness, Day-to-Day
  • Seranthony Domínguez (Phillies): Oblique, D15
  • Darick Hall (Phillies): Thumb, D60
  • Rhys Hoskins (Phillies): ACL, D60
  • Rafael Marchán (Phillies): Hand, D60
  • Noah Song (Phillies): Back, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.