Phillies vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 13

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 13, 2022, 10:57 AM
  • The Phillies (46-42) are +100 favorites vs the Blue Jays (46-42)
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Zachary Wheeler (8-4), 2.46 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Thomas Stripling (4-3), 3.34 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Philadelphia Phillies (+100) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-120) on Wednesday, July 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.

The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).

The Phillies vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Phillies are 46-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 36-52 ATS.

Phillies vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phillies-1.5 +165O 8 -115+100
Blue Jays +1.5 -200U 8 -105-120

Phillies vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 65.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Blue Jays vs Phillies and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nick Castellanos has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Nick Castellanos has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+9.85 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 19 games (+9.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Rhys Hoskins has hit the RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Nick Castellanos has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.35 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.80 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Santiago Espinal has hit the Runs Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+4.10 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Santiago Espinal has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.05 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Blue Jays vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alejandro Kirk 0.5 +625 0.5 -2000
    Bo Bichette 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
    Danny Jansen 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
    George Springer 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
    Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000

    Blue Jays vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alejandro Kirk 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
    Bo Bichette 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
    Danny Jansen 0.5 -120 0.5 -115
    George Springer 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
    Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 -200 0.5 +140

    Blue Jays vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alejandro Kirk 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
    Bo Bichette 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
    Danny Jansen 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
    George Springer 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
    Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 +210 0.5 -350

    Blue Jays vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Ross Stripling 3.5 -155 3.5 +110
    Zack Wheeler 5.5 -105 5.5 -135
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 28 of their last 43 away games (+11.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 37 games (+11.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 38 games (+8.90 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.05 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 33 of their last 46 games (+20.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 47 games (+16.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+0.75 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+0.65 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 46-42 against the Run Line (+3.75 Units / 3.48% ROI).

    • 46-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.2 Units / -3.55% ROI
    • 45-41 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.1 Units / 0.1% ROI
    • 41-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.45 Units / -8.72% ROI

    Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 36-52 against the Run Line (-19.2 Units / -18.19% ROI).

    • 46-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.3 Units / -11.68% ROI
    • 46-41 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.75 Units / 0.78% ROI
    • 41-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.6 Units / -10.81% ROI

    Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (1,423/3,207) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

    Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 84.4 MPH on the road since the start of last season (352 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 88.8

    Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 73.4 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (149 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 80.3

    Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.8 MPH on pitches in the strike zone since the start of last season (636 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 90.8

    Thomas Stripling: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    The average home run distance against Ross Stripling this season is 370.4 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 398.3

    Ross Stripling has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.4 MPH on inside pitches since the start of last season (135 balls in play) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 85.4

    Hitters have chased just 69 of Ross Stripling’s 325 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 21%) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 0 Percentile.

    Right-handed batters are hitting .381 (8-for-21) against Ross Stripling this month (2 games) — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .246 — fifth Percentile.

    Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

    The Phillies are just 1-9 (.100) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

    The Phillies are 8-30 (.211) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .112.

    The Phillies are 8-31 (.205) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .084.

    The Phillies are 19-111 (.146) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .125.

    Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

    The Blue Jays are just 2-33 (.057) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .084.

    The Blue Jays are 39-2 (.951) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .916.

    The Blue Jays are 36-1 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .888.

    The Blue Jays are 26-18 (.591) at home this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .522.

    Phillies hitters have an OBP of .333 (958 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .317.

    24% of Phillies hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

    Phillies hitters are slugging .497 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .443.

    Phillies hitters have drawn 97 walks in 958 PA’s (10%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

    The Blue Jays are batting .264 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .232.

    Blue Jays hitters are slugging .673 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .576.

    Blue Jays hitters have just 1,453 strikeouts in 7,149 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

    Blue Jays hitters are slugging .477 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

    The Phillies pitchers have allowed the 2nd hardest ball in play hit (113.6 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 116.3).

    Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

    Opponents have a groundball batting average of .251 against Phillies pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .222.

    Opponents have a line drive rate of 26% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

    The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

    Blue Jays pitchers have walked 713 of 9,204 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

    Blue Jays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 64% this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.

    Blue Jays vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
  • Yusei Kikuchi (Blue Jays): Neck, D15
  • Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15
  • Kevin Gausman (Blue Jays): Ankle, Day-to-Day
  • Zachary Eflin (Phillies): Knee, D15
  • James McArthur (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • Ryan Sherriff (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Connor Brogdon (Phillies): COVID, D10
  • Bryce Harper (Phillies): Thumb, D10
  • Johan Camargo (Phillies): Knee, D10
  • Jean Segura (Phillies): Finger, D60
  • Samuel Coonrod (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Ranger Suárez (Phillies): Back, D15
  • Nicholas Maton (Phillies): Shoulder, D10
  • Joseph Romero (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • Damon Jones (Phillies): Shoulder, D60

  • Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Blue Jays vs Phillies and all MLB games with BetMGM


    Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

    At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

    About the Author

    BetMGM Betting

    Read More @BETMGM

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.