Phillies vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 24

Atlanta Braves' Matt Olson (28) runs to first base in the seventh inning of Game 2 of a baseball NL Division Series against the Philadelphia Phillies, Monday, Oct. 9, 2023, in Atlanta. (AP Photo/Brynn Anderson)
(AP Photo/Brynn Anderson)
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  • The Braves are -145 favorites vs the Phillies
  • Phillies vs Braves Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Phillies / Braves TV Channel: ATV

The Philadelphia Phillies (+120) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-145) on April 24, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Phillies are 8-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 17-9 ATS.

Phillies vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Phillies starting pitcher: Andrew Painter 1-1, 4.42 ERA
  • Braves starting pitcher: Grant Holmes 1-1, 3.42 ERA

Phillies vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phillies+1.5 -185O 9 -110+120
Braves -1.5 +150U 9 -110-145

Phillies vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s MLB game with 54.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Felix Reyes has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+11.00 Units / 275% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.85 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.20 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.55 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Michael Harris II has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+18.90 Units / 189% ROI)
  • Drake Baldwin has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+16.00 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Drake Baldwin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.90 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Drake Baldwin has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Drake Baldwin has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+9.70 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games (+12.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 away games (+9.35 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 45 games (+4.05 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 40 games (+18.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 40 games (+12.80 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+12.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+7.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+6.65 Units / 35% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 4-21 against the Run Line (-19.1 Units / -67.37% ROI).

  • 8-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.6 Units / -39.09% ROI
  • 13-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.05 Units / 3.8% ROI
  • 11-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.05 Units / -11.13% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 17-9 against the Run Line (+12.45 Units / 44.78% ROI).

  • 18-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.75 Units / 18.37% ROI
  • 12-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.05 Units / -3.63% ROI
  • 12-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.7 Units / -2.48% ROI

Braves vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Kyle Schwarber +280
Matt Olson +425
Ronald Acuna Jr. +450
Bryce Harper +450
Austin Riley +475

Braves vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Riley 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Bryce Harper 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Drake Baldwin 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Michael Harris II 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Ozzie Albies 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Braves vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Olson 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Trea Turner 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Austin Riley 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Bryce Harper 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Ronald Acuna Jr. 0.5 -185 0.5 +135

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Phillies were 15-45 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Phillies are 17-61 (.218) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .125.

The Phillies are just 8-17 (.320) this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Phillies are just 4-12 (.250) after a loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Braves are 12-75 (.138) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .092.

The Braves are just 25-81 (.236) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .285.

The Braves are just 16-74 (.178) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.

The Braves are 1-8 (.111) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Phillies are batting just .178 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .561 (343 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .271 (343 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters chased 21% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2025 season — tied for highest in MLB.

The Braves are batting .221 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .460 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves hitters slugged .521 against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.

Braves hitters are slugging .300 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 24 double plays in 159 opportunities (15%) this season — best in MLB.

Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Braves pitchers in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Braves have allowed 3.38 runs per game (88/26) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.