- The Braves are -130 favorites vs the Phillies
- Phillies vs Braves Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Phillies / Braves TV Channel: BRVN | NSP+
The Philadelphia Phillies (+110) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-130) on April 25, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Phillies are against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are ATS.
Phillies vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Bryce Elder 3-1, 1.50 ERA
Phillies vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | +1.5 -200 | O 8.5 -105 | +110 |
| Braves | -1.5 +165 | U 8.5 -115 | -130 |
Phillies vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.90 Units / 41% ROI)
- Rafael Marchan has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 games (+11.00 Units / 110% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.50 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Drake Baldwin has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.80 Units / 53% ROI)
- Dominic Smith has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- Drake Baldwin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- Dominic Smith has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+11.40 Units / 45% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games (+14.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 away games (+9.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 50 games (+3.75 Units / 7% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 40 games (+19.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 40 games (+12.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+11.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+7.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+7.40 Units / 27% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Phillies are 17-62 (.215) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .126.
The Phillies are just 3-17 (.150) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.
The Phillies are just 4-13 (.235) after a loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .476.
The Phillies are just 8-17 (.320) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Braves are 15-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .865.
The Braves are 15-1 (.938) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .768.
The Braves are just 10-43 (.189) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .302.
The Braves are 12-75 (.138) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .092.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting just .179 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
Phillies hitters are slugging just .289 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .271 (347 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .428 (516 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
The Braves are batting .221 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.
Braves hitters slugged .521 against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Braves hitters are slugging .458 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.
The Braves are batting .274 this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Phillies pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 24 double plays in 166 opportunities (14%) this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Braves pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB.
The Braves have allowed 0.85 runs per game (23/27) in late innings this season — best in MLB.
The Braves have allowed 3.37 runs per game (91/27) this season — best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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