Phillies vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 26

Atlanta Braves second base Ozzie Albies (1) is shown in action against the Chicago Cubs in a baseball game Tuesday, May 14, 2024, in Atlanta.
(AP Photo/John Bazemore)
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  • The Braves are -175 favorites vs the Phillies
  • Phillies vs Braves Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Phillies / Braves TV Channel: BRVN | NSPA

The Philadelphia Phillies (+145) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-175) on April 26, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Phillies are 9-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 18-10 ATS.

Phillies vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola 1-2, 5.13 ERA
  • Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 4-1, 2.80 ERA

Phillies vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phillies+1.5 -140O 8.5 -115+145
Braves -1.5 +115U 8.5 -105-175

Phillies vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.90 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.35 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Bryce Harper has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+11.20 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Felix Reyes has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+11.00 Units / 275% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.60 Units / 21% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Matt Olson has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+15.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+15.40 Units / 220% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+14.40 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Drake Baldwin has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.75 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Drake Baldwin has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+11.85 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 35 games (+14.15 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games (+4.75 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 40 games (+17.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 45 games at home (+14.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 games (+10.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+6.55 Units / 31% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 5-22 against the Run Line (-19.6 Units / -61.83% ROI).

  • 9-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.45 Units / -36.72% ROI
  • 14-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.95 Units / 3.19% ROI
  • 12-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.15 Units / -10.64% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 18-10 against the Run Line (+12.75 Units / 42.79% ROI).

  • 19-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.4 Units / 16.1% ROI
  • 13-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.15 Units / -3.69% ROI
  • 13-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.8 Units / -2.63% ROI

Braves vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Matt Olson +333
Kyle Schwarber +360
Ronald Acuna Jr. +390
Drake Baldwin +390
Felix Reyes +400

Braves vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Drake Baldwin 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Michael Harris II 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Ozzie Albies 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Felix Reyes 0.5 -210 0.5 +150
Matt Olson 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Braves vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Felix Reyes 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Austin Riley 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Matt Olson 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Trea Turner 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Ronald Acuna Jr. 0.5 -235 0.5 +170

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Phillies are just 9-17 (.346) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Phillies are 18-62 (.225) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .126.

The Phillies were 15-45 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Phillies are 67-12 (.848) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Braves are 12-75 (.138) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .092.

The Braves are just 10-43 (.189) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .303.

The Braves are 9-5 (.643) at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .536.

The Braves are 16-2 (.889) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .731.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .296 (885 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2025 season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .442 (536 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of .757 (4,890 PA’s) against RHP since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .310 (670 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .604 (560 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

The Braves are batting .221 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves hitters slugged .521 against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.

Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .299 against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents are hitting .286 against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 24 double plays in 172 opportunities (14%) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Braves have allowed 0.86 runs per game (24/28) in late innings this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Braves pitchers since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.24 (250.0 IP) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.