- The Braves are -175 favorites vs the Phillies
- Phillies vs Braves Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Phillies / Braves TV Channel: BRVN | NSPA
The Philadelphia Phillies (+145) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-175) on April 26, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Phillies are 9-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 18-10 ATS.
Phillies vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola 1-2, 5.13 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 4-1, 2.80 ERA
Phillies vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | +1.5 -140 | O 8.5 -115 | +145 |
| Braves | -1.5 +115 | U 8.5 -105 | -175 |
Phillies vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+11.20 Units / 56% ROI)
- Felix Reyes has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+11.00 Units / 275% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.60 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+15.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+15.40 Units / 220% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+14.40 Units / 55% ROI)
- Drake Baldwin has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Drake Baldwin has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+11.85 Units / 59% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 35 games (+14.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games (+4.75 Units / 9% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 40 games (+17.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 45 games at home (+14.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 games (+10.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+6.55 Units / 31% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 5-22 against the Run Line (-19.6 Units / -61.83% ROI).
- 9-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.45 Units / -36.72% ROI
- 14-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.95 Units / 3.19% ROI
- 12-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.15 Units / -10.64% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 18-10 against the Run Line (+12.75 Units / 42.79% ROI).
- 19-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.4 Units / 16.1% ROI
- 13-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.15 Units / -3.69% ROI
- 13-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.8 Units / -2.63% ROI
Braves vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Matt Olson | +333 |
| Kyle Schwarber | +360 |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | +390 |
| Drake Baldwin | +390 |
| Felix Reyes | +400 |
Braves vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Drake Baldwin | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Michael Harris II | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ozzie Albies | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Felix Reyes | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +150 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Braves vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Felix Reyes | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Austin Riley | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Trea Turner | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +170 |
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Phillies are just 9-17 (.346) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Phillies are 18-62 (.225) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .126.
The Phillies were 15-45 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Phillies are 67-12 (.848) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .793.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Braves are 12-75 (.138) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .092.
The Braves are just 10-43 (.189) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .303.
The Braves are 9-5 (.643) at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Braves are 16-2 (.889) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .296 (885 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2025 season — tied for lowest in MLB.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .442 (536 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .757 (4,890 PA’s) against RHP since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .310 (670 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters have an OPS of .604 (560 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.
The Braves are batting .221 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.
Braves hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Braves hitters slugged .521 against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .299 against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.
Opponents are hitting .286 against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 24 double plays in 172 opportunities (14%) this season — 2nd best in MLB.
The Braves have allowed 0.86 runs per game (24/28) in late innings this season — best in MLB.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Braves pitchers since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.
Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.24 (250.0 IP) this season — 2nd best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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