- The Braves are -150 favorites vs the Phillies
- Phillies starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker
- Braves starting pitcher: Jared Shuster
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Philadelphia Phillies (+125) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-150) on Friday, May 26, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Phillies vs Braves Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
This season, the Phillies are 23-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 21-29 ATS.
Phillies vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | +1.5 -150 | O 10 -105 | +125 |
| Braves | -1.5 +125 | U 10 -115 | -150 |
Phillies vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 74.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 33 games (+14.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- J.T. Realmuto has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 away games (+13.70 Units / 45% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 34 games (+12.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 47 games (+12.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 34 games (+11.75 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 games (+12.85 Units / 45% ROI)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 47 games (+12.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+10.80 Units / 66% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.40 Units / 35% ROI)
Braves vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Braves vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Braves vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
Braves vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jared Shuster | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
| Taijuan Walker | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +120 |
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 49 games (+8.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.95 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 33 games (+4.80 Units / 13% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games (+13.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games (+4.70 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.30 Units / 13% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 19-31 against the Run Line (-18.4 Units / -28.35% ROI).
- 23-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.1 Units / -17.39% ROI
- 22-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.15 Units / -9.42% ROI
- 25-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 1.8% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 21-29 against the Run Line (-7.2 Units / -12.4% ROI).
- 31-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.7 Units / 6.1% ROI
- 30-19 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.45 Units / 17.37% ROI
- 19-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.4 Units / -25.88% ROI
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 11% (6/54) against Taijuan Walker on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 0 Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 47% of Taijuan Walker’s pitches (31/66) with two-strikes — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 60% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (13/94) against Taijuan Walker over the last 14 days (3 games) — 4th lowest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 24% — eighth Percentile.
Taijuan Walker has a strikeout rate of just 25% (7 SO in 28 PAs) with two-strikes — 5th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 41% — fifth Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jared Shuster has walked 12 of 85 batters (14%) this season — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: 8% — fifth Percentile.
Jared Shuster has a strike rate of just 59% (191/321) this season — 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: 64% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 10% (2/20) against Jared Shuster on changeups this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .111 (4-for-36) against Jared Shuster over the last 30 days (2 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .251 — 100th Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Phillies are just 1-16 (.059) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.
The Phillies are 14-14 (.500) after a win as underdogs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
The Phillies are 15-79 (.160) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .088.
The Phillies are 51-29 (.638) after a win as favorites since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .596.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Braves are 14-5 (.737) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 28-21 (.571) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .300.
The Braves are 11-4 (.733) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .471.
The Braves are 10-8 (.556) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .269.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting .329 against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Phillies hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .338 (1,274 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Phillies hitters have drawn 33 walks in 618 PA’s (5%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .573 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Braves hitters are slugging .476 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .947 (544 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .748.
The Braves have a winning percentage of 71% on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 17 double plays in 337 opportunities (5%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 127 of 1,868 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies pitchers have an ERA of 5.76 (217.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.45.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 24% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 17% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves pitchers have won 58% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Braves pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dylan Lee (Braves): Shoulder, D15
- Max Fried (Braves): Forearm, D15
- Michael Tonkin (Braves): Neck, D15
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Kolby Allard (Braves): Oblique, D60
- Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Darick Hall (Phillies): Thumb, D60
- Rhys Hoskins (Phillies): ACL, D60
- José Alvarado (Phillies): Elbow, D15
- Rafael Marchán (Phillies): Hand, D60
- Noah Song (Phillies): Back, D15
- Cristian Pache (Phillies): Knee, D10
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