Phillies vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 13

Atlanta Braves second base Ozzie Albies (1) is shown in action against the Chicago Cubs in a baseball game Tuesday, May 14, 2024, in Atlanta.
(AP Photo/John Bazemore)
Odds Boost: Same Game Parlay
  • The Braves are -135 favorites vs the Phillies
  • Phillies vs Braves Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Phillies / Braves TV Channel: BRVN | NSPA

The Philadelphia Phillies (+110) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-135) on September 13, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Phillies are 82-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 76-72 ATS.

Phillies vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Phillies starting pitcher: Andrew Painter 3-9, 5.72 ERA
  • Braves starting pitcher: Grant Holmes 9-5, 3.47 ERA

Phillies vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phillies+1.5 -185O 9 +100+110
Braves -1.5 +150U 9 -120-135

Phillies vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Luis Arraez has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 25 away games (+22.40 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Brandon Marsh has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+15.75 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 away games (+14.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.95 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Justin Crawford has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+12.00 Units / 300% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+11.20 Units / 112% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.20 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.15 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+7.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 away games (+6.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 14 away games (+5.20 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games (+4.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 away games (+4.00 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 35 games (+15.55 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+13.80 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games (+12.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 30 games at home (+12.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+11.60 Units / 20% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 62-86 against the Run Line (-29.9 Units / -17.12% ROI).

  • 82-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.6 Units / -2.06% ROI
  • 68-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.1 Units / -7.37% ROI
  • 73-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -0.76% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 76-72 against the Run Line (+13.15 Units / 7.69% ROI).

  • 88-61 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.2 Units / 5% ROI
  • 67-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.6 Units / -9.44% ROI
  • 75-67 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.55 Units / 1.57% ROI

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Phillies are 15-52 (.224) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are 7-58 (.108) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are 19-1 (.950) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Phillies are 19-45 (.297) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Braves are 51-26 (.662) at home this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

The Braves are 45-10 (.818) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Braves are 11-5 (.688) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Braves are 51-36 (.586) after a win this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Phillies are just 9-23 (.281) against the run line (-56.7% ROI) when underdogs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Phillies are just 6-26 (-62.5% ROI) when underdogs this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .484 (3,005 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .658 (2,781 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .290 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters have chased 34% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Braves hitters have been successful in 100% of their sacrifice bunt attempts this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Phillies pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.6 MPH this season (3,219 balls in play) — best in MLB

The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games this season — lowest in MLB.

The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 43% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.56 (1324.0 IP) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 36% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Braves pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 257 times this season — tied for 5th fewest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.