Phillies vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 13

Milwaukee Brewers' William Contreras hits a two-run home run during the second inning of a baseball game against the San Francisco Giants Sunday, May 28, 2023, in Milwaukee. (AP Photo/Morry Gash)
(AP Photo/Morry Gash)
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  • The Brewers are -145 favorites vs the Phillies
  • Phillies vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Phillies / Brewers TV Channel: FS1 | BRTV | NSPA

The Philadelphia Phillies (+120) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-145) on June 13, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Phillies are 37-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 39-28 ATS.

Phillies vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola 3-4, 5.90 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Shane Drohan 3-1, 3.11 ERA

Phillies vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phillies+1.5 -180O 8 +100+120
Brewers -1.5 +145U 8 -120-145

Phillies vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brandon Marsh has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+15.00 Units / 214% ROI)
  • J.T. Realmuto has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+13.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • J.T. Realmuto has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 35% ROI)
  • J.T. Realmuto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.15 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Bryson Stott has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.55 Units / 25% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • David Hamilton has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+13.00 Units / 217% ROI)
  • Jake Bauers has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+11.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Garrett Mitchell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.75 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.30 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+8.55 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 30 games (+13.20 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 games (+10.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.75 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 away games (+5.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+15.90 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 games (+12.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+9.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.30 Units / 26% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 24-44 against the Run Line (-23.05 Units / -28.6% ROI).

  • 37-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.95 Units / -3.95% ROI
  • 29-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.55 Units / -16.52% ROI
  • 38-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.4 Units / 8.43% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 39-28 against the Run Line (+15.45 Units / 19.46% ROI).

  • 42-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.55 Units / 10.1% ROI
  • 31-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.45 Units / -10.1% ROI
  • 35-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 1.29% ROI

Brewers vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Kyle Schwarber +210
Jake Bauers +333
Jackson Chourio +340
Bryce Harper +350
Christian Yelich +390

Brewers vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
William Contreras 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Trea Turner 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Christian Yelich 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Bryce Harper 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Brice Turang 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Brewers vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jake Bauers 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Jackson Chourio 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Bryce Harper 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Brice Turang 0.5 -235 0.5 +170

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Phillies are 7-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .785.

The Phillies are 18-2 (.900) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .752.

The Phillies are 17-5 (.773) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .646.

The Phillies are 28-1 (.966) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .892.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Brewers are 8-18 (.308) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .108.

The Brewers are 42-25 (.627) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers are 7-18 (.280) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .143.

The Brewers are 28-13 (.683) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .521.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .271 (1,226 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .219 (1,382 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

The Phillies are batting just .204 on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .445 (1,382 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .381 (785 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers are batting .392 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters are slugging just .346 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Brewers are 8-18 (.308) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .108.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .287 against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Phillies pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 64% this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 2.00 (99.0 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.