Phillies vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 14

Milwaukee Brewers' Brice Turang swings during the first inning of a baseball game against the Washington Nationals Saturday, Sept. 16, 2023, in Milwaukee. (AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
(AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
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  • The Phillies are -120 favorites vs the Brewers
  • Phillies vs Brewers Over / Under today: 7 Runs
  • Phillies / Brewers TV Channel: BRTV | NSPA

The Philadelphia Phillies (-120) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (+100) on June 14, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 pm in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Phillies are 38-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 39-29 ATS.

Phillies vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 8-2, 1.54 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Kyle Harrison 7-1, 2.75 ERA

Phillies vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phillies-1.5 +150O 7 -120-120
Brewers +1.5 -185U 7 +100+100

Phillies vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brandon Marsh has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+14.00 Units / 175% ROI)
  • J.T. Realmuto has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+13.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Bryce Harper has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+11.45 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Brandon Marsh has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • J.T. Realmuto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.65 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Garrett Mitchell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.90 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Jake Bauers has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+9.50 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.30 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jake Bauers has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+9.20 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 30 games (+13.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 45 games (+12.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 15 away games (+6.60 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 24 away games (+5.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+15.00 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+11.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 games (+10.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.45 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games (+5.30 Units / 12% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 25-44 against the Run Line (-22.05 Units / -26.86% ROI).

  • 38-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.55 Units / -2.52% ROI
  • 30-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.55 Units / -14.97% ROI
  • 38-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.4 Units / 7.02% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 39-29 against the Run Line (+14.45 Units / 17.97% ROI).

  • 42-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.95 Units / 8.27% ROI
  • 32-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.45 Units / -8.61% ROI
  • 35-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.05 Units / -0.07% ROI

Brewers vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Kyle Schwarber +250
Bryce Harper +400
Alec Bohm +500
Jackson Chourio +525
Edmundo Sosa +550

Brewers vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jackson Chourio 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
William Contreras 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Trea Turner 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Alec Bohm 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Brewers vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
William Contreras 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Bryson Stott 0.5 -165 0.5 +125
Alec Bohm 0.5 -165 0.5 +125
Kyle Harrison 6.5 -160 6.5 +120
Luis Rengifo 0.5 -155 0.5 +115

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Phillies are 24-2 (.923) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Phillies are 33-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .944.

The Phillies are 19-2 (.905) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .751.

The Phillies are 17-5 (.773) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .647.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Brewers are 8-19 (.296) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .108.

The Brewers are 5-1 (.833) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers are 36-7 (.837) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .727.

The Brewers are 7-19 (.269) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .143.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .220 (1,407 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .277 (1,273 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .630 (1,273 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .634 (814 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have an OPS of .755 (1,891 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have struck out in just 20% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Brewers are batting .396 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.4 MPH this season (1,729 balls in play) — best in MLB

Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .288 against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 64% this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 2.00 (99.0 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.