Phillies vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 08, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Phillies (26-29) are -135 favorites vs the Brewers (33-24)
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola (3-4), 3.915 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Adrian Houser (3-5), 3.506 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSWI

The Philadelphia Phillies (-135) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (+115) on Wednesday, June 8, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.

The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Phillies vs Brewers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Phillies are 26-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 24-33 ATS.

Phillies vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phillies-1.5 +125O 8 -105-135
Brewers +1.5 -150U 8 -115+115

Phillies vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 68.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Brewers vs Phillies and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 17 away games (+11.25 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Rhys Hoskins has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.45 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 away games (+9.40 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 19 away games (+8.85 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 13 away games (+8.55 Units / 66% ROI)

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tyrone Taylor has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.70 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Andrew McCutchen has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 7 games at home (+6.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Andrew McCutchen has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Rowdy Tellez has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Tyrone Taylor has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+5.60 Units / 80% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 17 away games (+10.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 18 of their last 25 away games (+10.20 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 39 games (+9.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.45 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+3.55 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 22 games (+3.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+2.80 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.55 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 53 games (+2.40 Units / 3% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 27-28 against the Run Line (-1.95 Units / -2.86% ROI).

  • 26-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.1 Units / -11.23% ROI
  • 31-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.8 Units / 11.15% ROI
  • 22-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.75 Units / -19.53% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 24-33 against the Run Line (-9.8 Units / -14.71% ROI).

  • 33-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.55 Units / -1.72% ROI
  • 26-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.5 Units / -7.06% ROI
  • 28-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.4 Units / 0.64% ROI

Aaron Nola has allowed a .489 SLG vs right-handed batters (sixth worst)– eighth Percentile and just .289 vs left-handed batters this season (10th best among qualified SPs)– 83rd Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .042 (1-for-24) against Aaron Nola on low fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .275 — 100th Percentile.

Aaron Nola has a strikeout rate of 33% (12 SO in 36 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting just .167 (19-for-114) against Aaron Nola this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .227 — 96th Percentile.

Adrian Houser: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Adrian Houser has walked 11 of 122 right-handed batters (9%) this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 11th Percentile.

Adrian Houser has walked 23 of 225 batters (10%) this season — tied for 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 12th Percentile.

71% of Adrian Houser’s non-fastball strikeouts are located away this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 51% — 96th Percentile.

Adrian Houser has allowed an OPS of just .696 (43 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 1.011 — 94th Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Phillies are 5-22 (.185) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .075.

The Phillies are just 19-3 (.864) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .905.

The Phillies are just 11-14 (.440) on the road this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .487.

The Phillies are 5-21 (.192) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .095.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Brewers are 3-18 (.143) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .075.

The Brewers are just 28-3 (.903) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .925.

The Brewers are 16-4 (.800) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.

The Brewers are 14-3 (.824) when scoring in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .667.

Phillies hitters have put just 31% of balls in play to the left side of the field with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Phillies hitters are slugging .436 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .382.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of .761 (976 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .688.

Phillies hitters are slugging .512 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .438.

The Brewers are batting just .224 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .636 (643 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Brewers hitters are averaging 4.08 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .277 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .212.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of 2020 — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Brewers pitchers have won 57% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 48% with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Brewers pitchers have walked 31 of 506 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Brewers vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
  • Trevor Gott (Brewers): Groin, D15
  • Willy Adames (Brewers): Ankle, D10
  • Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Kolten Wong (Brewers): Right Calf, Day-to-Day
  • Omar Narváez (Brewers): COVID-19, D10
  • Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Ankle, D15
  • Jandel Gustave (Brewers): Hamstring, D15
  • Justin Topa (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Freddy Peralta (Brewers): Lat, D15
  • Michael Brosseau (Brewers): Ankle, D10
  • Kent Emanuel (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • Johan Camargo (Phillies): Knee, D10
  • Ryan Sherriff (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Jean Segura (Phillies): Finger, D10
  • Samuel Coonrod (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Nicholas Maton (Phillies): Shoulder, D10
  • Joseph Romero (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • Rafael Marchán (Phillies): Hamstring, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.