Phillies vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 10

St. Louis Cardinals' Jordan Walker warms up before a baseball game against the Milwaukee Brewers Thursday, Sept. 28, 2023, in Milwaukee. (AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
AP Photo/Aaron Gash
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  • The Phillies are -120 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Phillies vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Phillies / Cardinals TV Channel: FS1 | CATV | NSPA

The Philadelphia Phillies (-120) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+100) on August 10, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45 pm in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the Phillies are 63-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 63-52 ATS.

Phillies vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Phillies starting pitcher: Andrew Painter 1-8, 6.51 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Hunter Dobbins 2-2, 3.60 ERA

Phillies vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phillies-1.5 +135O 9 -110-120
Cardinals +1.5 -165U 9 -110+100

Phillies vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Monday‘s MLB game with 53.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brandon Marsh has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+11.50 Units / 288% ROI)
  • J.T. Realmuto has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+11.50 Units / 128% ROI)
  • J.T. Realmuto has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Justin Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+9.40 Units / 27% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Bryan Torres has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 games at home (+15.00 Units / 150% ROI)
  • Alec Burleson has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.40 Units / 48% ROI)
  • JJ Wetherholt has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+10.15 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Nathan Church has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.95 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Ivan Herrera has hit the Walks Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 away games (+11.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 away games (+6.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 away games (+6.35 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+15.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+10.05 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 35 games (+4.15 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.90 Units / 44% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 46-72 against the Run Line (-32.95 Units / -23.41% ROI).

  • 63-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.3 Units / -5.23% ROI
  • 52-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.85 Units / -11.32% ROI
  • 61-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.25 Units / 3.25% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 63-52 against the Run Line (-3.5 Units / -2.1% ROI).

  • 59-59 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.05 Units / 3.15% ROI
  • 47-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -26.1 Units / -20.03% ROI
  • 66-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.2 Units / 10.97% ROI

Cardinals vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Kyle Schwarber +250
Bryce Harper +375
Jordan Walker +375
Alec Burleson +425
JJ Wetherholt +475

Cardinals vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Marsh 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Bryce Harper 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Ivan Herrera 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Justin Crawford 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Cardinals vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jimmy Crooks 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Jordan Walker 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Bryce Harper 0.5 -165 0.5 +125
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 -160 0.5 +120
Brandon Marsh 0.5 -160 0.5 +120

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Phillies were 15-45 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Phillies were 83-15 (.847) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

The Phillies were 81-21 (.794) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

The Phillies were 79-4 (.952) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .899.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Cardinals were just 7-11 (.389) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals were 18-9 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .498.

The Cardinals were 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.

Phillies hitters are slugging .727 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .654 (2,133 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .228 (2,396 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Phillies are batting just .224 on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Cardinals hitters are slugging just .362 at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Cardinals hitters are slugging just .497 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .307 (2,305 PA’s) at home this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.7 MPH (2,873 batted balls) this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.7 MPH this season (2,873 balls in play) — best in MLB

The Cardinals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

The Cardinals pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.6 MPH this season (3,091 balls in play) — 2nd highest in MLB

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.