- The Phillies are -145 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Zachary Thompson
- Watch the game on Apple TV+
The Philadelphia Phillies (-145) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+120) on Friday, September 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Phillies vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Phillies are 79-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 70-76 ATS.
Phillies vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +110 | O 8.5 -105 | -145 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -135 | U 8.5 -115 | +120 |
Phillies vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 65.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Phillies vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+16.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 34 games (+15.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+13.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 35 games (+13.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.70 Units / 51% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+17.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+12.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+10.60 Units / 51% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 42 games (+10.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 50 games (+10.15 Units / 16% ROI)
Cardinals vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
Cardinals vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -110 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Cardinals vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Cardinals vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nola | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
| Zack Thompson | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 89 games (+7.00 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 41 games (+6.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 37 games (+5.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 21 away games (+4.57 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.65 Units / 30% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.04 Units / 51% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 74% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+6.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 76 games (+4.40 Units / 5% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 64-82 against the Run Line (-25.45 Units / -14.09% ROI).
- 79-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.75 Units / -4.23% ROI
- 64-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.75 Units / -7.93% ROI
- 70-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.2 Units / -0.12% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 70-76 against the Run Line (-11.6 Units / -6.27% ROI).
- 65-81 when betting on the Moneyline for -30.2 Units / -16.18% ROI
- 69-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -8 Units / -4.96% ROI
- 70-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.4 Units / -3.37% ROI
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 37% of the time (190/513) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 32% of the time (319/1,012) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 95th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has located his pitches away 55% of the time (397/726) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 37% (22/60) against Aaron Nola on changeups this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Thompson has allowed a slugging percentage of just .245 (25 Total Bases / 102 ABs) vs left-handed batters since last season — 2nd best among in MLB; League Avg: .368 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (56/96) against Zack Thompson in two-strike counts since last season — tied for 12th highest among among 146 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — 92nd Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (56/96) against Zack Thompson in two-strike counts since last season — tied for 7th highest among in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 92nd Percentile.
43% of Zack Thompson’s non-fastball strikeouts are located inside since last season — 6th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 27% — 97th Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Phillies are 7-59 (.106) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Phillies are 19-112 (.145) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .092.
The Phillies are 78-44 (.639) after a win as favorites since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .593.
The Phillies are 27-110 (.197) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .130.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Cardinals are just 52-6 (.897) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Cardinals are 10-130 (.071) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Cardinals are 27-10 (.730) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 3-61 (.047) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters are slugging .430 since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Phillies hitters have 428 strikeouts in 1,718 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .776 (3,467 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Phillies hitters are slugging .543 against RHP over the last 30 days (26 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .424.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .333 (2,780 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .326 (11,766 PA’s) since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .332 (5,692 PA’s) at home since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .449 against LHP since the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have walked 186 of 2,733 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.4 MPH (3,622 batted balls) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joseph Romero (Cardinals): Knee, D15
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Brendan Donovan (Cardinals): Elbow, D60
- Nolan Gorman (Cardinals): Hamstring, D10
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Lat, D15
- Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Guillermo Zuñiga (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Oblique, D10
- Rhys Hoskins (Phillies): ACL, D60
Bet now on Phillies vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
