- The Phillies are -125 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Phillies starting pitcher: Ranger Suárez
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Philadelphia Phillies (-125) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+105) on Saturday, September 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Phillies vs Cardinals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Phillies are 80-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 71-76 ATS.
Phillies vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +135 | O 9 -105 | -125 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -160 | U 9 -115 | +105 |
Phillies vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 57.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Phillies vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 36 games (+15.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+14.70 Units / 51% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+14.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 33 games (+13.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 36 games (+12.35 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 48 games (+15.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 19 games at home (+9.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 games at home (+9.15 Units / 80% ROI)
Cardinals vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
Cardinals vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Bryce Harper | 1.5 +155 | 1.5 -210 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 1.5 +210 | 1.5 -275 |
Cardinals vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
Cardinals vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ranger Suarez | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
| Miles Mikolas | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 64-83 against the Run Line (-26.45 Units / -14.57% ROI).
- 80-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.75 Units / -3.72% ROI
- 65-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.75 Units / -7.27% ROI
- 70-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.4 Units / -0.86% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 71-76 against the Run Line (-10.6 Units / -5.69% ROI).
- 65-82 when betting on the Moneyline for -31.2 Units / -16.62% ROI
- 70-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -7 Units / -4.31% ROI
- 70-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.6 Units / -4.09% ROI
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – away
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (226/1,388) against Miles Mikolas this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .224 (76-for-340) against Miles Mikolas with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .166 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (49/330) against Miles Mikolas with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 15% (77/507) against Miles Mikolas this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Phillies are 27-110 (.197) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .130.
The Phillies are 7-59 (.106) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Phillies are 21-14 (.600) after a road win this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .497.
The Phillies are 19-11 (.633) after a home loss this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .506.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Cardinals are just 3-62 (.046) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Cardinals are 27-10 (.730) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 64-82 (.438) this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 52-6 (.897) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting .256 with two outs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .768 (5,646 PA’s) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .735.
The Phillies are batting .170 on pitches out of the zone since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of 1.560 (198 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count over the last 30 days (26 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.073.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have just 1,850 strikeouts in 9,024 PA’s (20%) against RHP since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Cardinals are just 29-46 (.377) against the run line (-30.2% ROI) after a road win since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .233 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .213.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .333 (2,788 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 187 of 2,742 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .254 against Phillies pitchers with the shift since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .230.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joseph Romero (Cardinals): Knee, D15
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Brendan Donovan (Cardinals): Elbow, D60
- Nolan Gorman (Cardinals): Hamstring, D10
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Lat, D15
- Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Guillermo Zuñiga (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Oblique, D10
- Rhys Hoskins (Phillies): ACL, D60
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