- The Phillies are -125 favorites vs the Cubs
- Phillies vs Cubs Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Phillies / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | NSPA
The Philadelphia Phillies (-125) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+105) on April 23, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20 pm in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Phillies are 8-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 12-12 ATS.
Phillies vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 2-2, 1.57 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Edward Cabrera 2-0, 2.46 ERA
Phillies vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +135 | O 9 -110 | -125 |
| Cubs | +1.5 -160 | U 9 -110 | +105 |
Phillies vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 54.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.20 Units / 40% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.65 Units / 48% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- Rafael Marchan has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 games (+11.00 Units / 110% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+23.00 Units / 329% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+10.25 Units / 54% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 away games (+13.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 away games (+9.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 45 games (+4.05 Units / 8% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games (+10.10 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+9.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+9.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+8.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in their last 8 games (+8.40 Units / 82% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 4-20 against the Run Line (-18.1 Units / -66.18% ROI).
- 8-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.45 Units / -37.15% ROI
- 12-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.05 Units / 0.19% ROI
- 11-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.95 Units / -7.41% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 12-12 against the Run Line (+0.95 Units / 3.39% ROI).
- 15-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units / 5.97% ROI
- 14-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.35 Units / 16.48% ROI
- 9-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.4 Units / -24.15% ROI
Cubs vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber | +200 |
| Bryce Harper | +310 |
| Adolis Garcia | +350 |
| Seiya Suzuki | +400 |
| Carson Kelly | +450 |
Cubs vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +170 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Brandon Marsh | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Cubs vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Busch | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Trea Turner | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Phillies were 15-45 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Phillies are 17-60 (.221) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .125.
The Phillies are just 4-11 (.267) after a loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .479.
The Phillies are just 8-16 (.333) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .526.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Cubs are 44-9 (.830) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .636.
The Cubs were 40-9 (.816) when they scored in the first inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .636.
The Cubs are 57-7 (.891) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .748.
The Cubs are 52-23 (.693) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2025 season Today, they face the Phillies (28th runs allowed).
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .264 (333 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
Phillies hitters are slugging just .282 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .546 (333 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
The Phillies are batting just .178 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .366 (462 PA’s) with bases empty this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Cubs hitters had an OPS of .761 (3,167 PA’s) on the road in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .356 (591 PA’s) at home this season — 4th best in MLB.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .370 (327 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB.
Phillies pitchers walked 7% of batters in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Phillies pitchers this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.
Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2025 season — best in MLB.
Cubs pitchers walked 7% of batters in the 2025 season — best in MLB.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Cubs pitchers in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Cubs pitchers since the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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