- The Phillies are -130 favorites vs the Cubs
- Phillies starting pitcher: Ranger Suárez
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon
- Watch the game on MARQ
The Philadelphia Phillies (-130) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+110) on Tuesday, June 27, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Chicago.
The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Phillies vs Cubs Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Phillies are 40-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 42-34 ATS.
Phillies vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +125 | O 8.5 -110 | -130 |
| Cubs | +1.5 -155 | U 8.5 -110 | +110 |
Phillies vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 62.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Phillies vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 29 of his last 50 games (+13.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+12.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- Josh Harrison has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Zack Wheeler has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 50 games (+9.00 Units / 14% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 22 games at home (+14.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 50 games (+14.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 33 of his last 49 games (+12.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 17 games at home (+10.85 Units / 63% ROI)
- Marcus Stroman has hit the Earned Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.55 Units / 43% ROI)
Cubs vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -550 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Miguel Amaya | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Cubs vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Miguel Amaya | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
Cubs vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Miguel Amaya | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Cubs vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jameson Taillon | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
| Ranger Suarez | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 60 games (+13.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+7.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.10 Units / 58% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 33 games at home (+10.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+9.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.90 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 37 games at home (+7.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games (+7.30 Units / 28% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 30-47 against the Run Line (-24.75 Units / -25.19% ROI).
- 40-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.1 Units / -5.73% ROI
- 29-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.8 Units / -18.71% ROI
- 41-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.3 Units / 10.93% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 42-34 against the Run Line (+6.8 Units / 7.06% ROI).
- 37-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.4 Units / -3.75% ROI
- 36-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.95 Units / -5.9% ROI
- 37-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.55 Units / -3.06% ROI
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .033 (1 GB hit out of 30 GBs) against Ranger Suarez with runners on base this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .255 — 100th Percentile.
Ranger Suarez has a strike rate of just 61% (1,639/2,693) against right-handed batters since last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 55% (331/600) against Ranger Suarez since last season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 96th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 44% (1,178/2,693) against Ranger Suarez since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: 49% — second Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jameson Taillon has a strikeout rate of just 20% (5 SO in 25 PAs) with two-strikes over the last 14 days (2 games) — 2nd lowest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — fourth Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed an OPS of .922 (25 PA’s) with two-strikes over the last 14 days (2 games) — 2nd highest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .479 — fourth Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has a strikeout rate of just 20% (5 SO in 25 PAs) with two-strikes — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed a slugging percentage of .632 (67 Total Bases / 106 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .418 — third Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Phillies are 59-30 (.663) after a win as favorites since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .596.
The Phillies are just 7-14 (.333) after a road loss this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .461.
The Phillies are 76-50 (.603) after a win since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Phillies are just 28-35 (.444) after a loss as favorites since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .592.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Cubs are just 9-13 (.409) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .605.
The Cubs are just 18-27 (.400) after a loss as favorites since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .592.
The Cubs are just 5-16 (.238) after a win as underdogs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .444.
The Cubs are just 3-28 (.097) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have drawn 55 walks in 903 PA’s (6%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies hitters are slugging .501 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .445.
The Phillies are batting .262 with two outs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .297 (903 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.10 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.11 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
The Cubs are batting just .292 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .353.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .443 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .594.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 34 double plays in 507 opportunities (7%) this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 142 of 2,110 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% in close and late situations this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 48 of 679 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 46 of 672 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .219 against Cubs pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Cubs pitchers have won only 6% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 42% of their games since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cubs vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D15
- Adrian Sampson (Cubs): Knee, D60
- Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Finger, Day-to-Day
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D15
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D60
- Patrick Wisdom (Cubs): Wrist, D10
- Seranthony DomÃnguez (Phillies): Oblique, D15
- Rhys Hoskins (Phillies): ACL, D60
- Noah Song (Phillies): Back, D60
Bet now on Phillies vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
