- The Phillies are -120 favorites vs the Cubs
- Phillies starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker
- Cubs starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Philadelphia Phillies (-120) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+100) on Thursday, June 29, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Chicago.
The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Phillies vs Cubs Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
This season, the Phillies are 42-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 42-36 ATS.
Phillies vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +135 | O 10 -115 | -120 |
| Cubs | +1.5 -160 | U 10 -105 | +100 |
Phillies vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 55.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Phillies vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 33 games (+15.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 49 games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- Zack Wheeler has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 16 away games (+9.40 Units / 45% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 19 away games (+8.35 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 24 games at home (+16.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 50 games (+14.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 28 of his last 39 games (+13.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 19 games at home (+11.45 Units / 60% ROI)
- Marcus Stroman has hit the Earned Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.55 Units / 43% ROI)
Cubs vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -700 |
| Miguel Amaya | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
Cubs vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Miguel Amaya | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Nico Hoerner | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -225 |
Cubs vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Miguel Amaya | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Cubs vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Hendricks | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -115 |
| Taijuan Walker | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -120 |
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 62 games (+13.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+9.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 22 games (+8.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 32 away games (+7.05 Units / 19% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+10.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 26 games (+7.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 26 games at home (+6.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 39 games at home (+5.20 Units / 11% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 32-47 against the Run Line (-22.3 Units / -22.24% ROI).
- 42-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.1 Units / -3.75% ROI
- 30-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.95 Units / -18.4% ROI
- 42-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.2 Units / 10.55% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 42-36 against the Run Line (+3.95 Units / 3.98% ROI).
- 37-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.4 Units / -5.83% ROI
- 37-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.1 Units / -5.92% ROI
- 38-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.65 Units / -3.1% ROI
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Taijuan Walker has a strike rate of just 57% (232/404) in two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (11/88) against Taijuan Walker on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: 27% — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 18% (60/325) against Taijuan Walker this season — tied for 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — ninth Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .201 (28-for-139) against Taijuan Walker this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .246 — 86th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Hendricks has a strikeout rate of just 12% (3 SO in 25 PAs) with two-strikes — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has an average fastball velocity of just 86.9 MPH since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — 0 Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has a strikeout rate of just 12% (3 SO in 25 PAs) with two-strikes over the last 14 days (2 games) — lowest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 41% — second Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has struck out just 4% (1/28) of left-handed batters he faced — 3rd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% — fourth Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Phillies are 16-88 (.154) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .092.
The Phillies are 21-88 (.193) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .126.
The Phillies are just 28-35 (.444) after a loss as favorites since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .591.
The Phillies are 19-5 (.792) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .608.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Cubs are just 1-7 (.125) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are just 3-20 (.130) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Cubs are just 0-35 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Cubs are just 18-27 (.400) after a loss as favorites since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .591.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have chased 35% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Phillies hitters have drawn 56 walks in 925 PA’s (6%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Phillies are batting .285 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Phillies hitters are slugging .238 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .214.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting just .291 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .353.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.12 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.10 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .439 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .594.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 235 of 3,553 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 143 of 2,128 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 23 of 416 batters (6%) over the last 14 days (11 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 46 of 690 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs pitchers have won only 6% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.2 MPH (1,917 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .219 against Cubs pitchers this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Cubs vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D15
- Adrian Sampson (Cubs): Knee, D60
- Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Finger, Day-to-Day
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D60
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D60
- Patrick Wisdom (Cubs): Wrist, D10
- Seiya Suzuki (Cubs): Neck stiffness, Day-to-Day
- Seranthony DomÃnguez (Phillies): Oblique, D15
- Rhys Hoskins (Phillies): ACL, D60
- Noah Song (Phillies): Back, D60
Bet now on Phillies vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
