- The Phillies (72-56) are -175 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (59-67)
- Phillies starting pitcher: Ranger Suárez (8-5), 3.37 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Madison Bumgarner (6-13), 4.53 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Philadelphia Phillies (-175) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+145) on Monday, August 29, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Phillies vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Phillies are 71-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 72-51 ATS.
Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 -110 | O 9 -115 | -175 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -110 | U 9 -105 | +145 |
Phillies vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Monday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 52 games (+16.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 46 away games (+14.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 40 games (+13.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 50 away games (+13.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 40 games (+12.45 Units / 29% ROI)
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 44 of his last 87 games (+18.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+13.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 58 of his last 87 games (+12.65 Units / 9% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 21 games at home (+10.75 Units / 51% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 19 games at home (+10.30 Units / 54% ROI)
Diamondbacks vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 +1200 | 0.5 |
| Jake McCarthy | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
Diamondbacks vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -275 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
| Jake McCarthy | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
Diamondbacks vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jake McCarthy | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
Diamondbacks vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Madison Bumgarner | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -175 |
| Ranger Suarez | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -130 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 70 of their last 123 games (+13.95 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 27 away games (+10.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 away games (+8.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 23 away games (+7.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games (+5.05 Units / 15% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 48 games (+22.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+5.00 Units / 32% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 66-60 against the Run Line (+4.7 Units / 3.07% ROI).
- 71-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.25 Units / 3.42% ROI
- 61-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.7 Units / -2.67% ROI
- 59-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.75 Units / -5.59% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 72-51 against the Run Line (+18.5 Units / 11.7% ROI).
- 58-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -0.47% ROI
- 55-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.1 Units / -10.47% ROI
- 63-55 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.35 Units / 0.99% ROI
Ranger Suárez: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (17/140) against Ranger Suarez with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Ranger Suarez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .324 (33 Total Bases / 102 ABs) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: .574 — 100th Percentile.
Ranger Suarez has an average spin rate of 1900.5 RPM on fastballs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 2227.1 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (125/214) against Ranger Suarez in two-strike counts since the start of last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Madison Bumgarner: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
30 of Madison Bumgarner’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
30 of Madison Bumgarner’s 63 breaking pitch strikeouts (48%) have been backdoor this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
61 of Madison Bumgarner’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches since the start of last season — most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .444 (28-for-63) against Madison Bumgarner on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .328 — third Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Phillies are 13-42 (.236) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Phillies are 11-42 (.208) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Phillies are just 4-12 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are 57-2 (.966) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Diamondbacks are just 99-30 (.767) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Diamondbacks are just 110-19 (.853) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Diamondbacks are just 10-31 (.244) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Diamondbacks are just 27-35 (.435) on the road this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .471.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .335 (1,383 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Phillies have a winning percentage of 56% on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .772 (1,383 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Phillies hitters are slugging .515 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .443.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting just .209 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 33% on the road since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Diamondbacks hitters have put 44% of balls in play to the right side of the field with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .200 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
The Phillies have won 41% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.5 MPH (3,087 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.6.
Phillies pitchers have walked 165 of 2,564 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Keynan Middleton (Diamondbacks): Ankle, D15
- Caleb Smith (Diamondbacks): Hand, D15
- Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Nelson (Diamondbacks): Back, D15
- Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Hans Crouse (Phillies): Biceps, D60
- Zachary Eflin (Phillies): Knee, D60
- James McArthur (Phillies): Elbow, D60
- Seranthony Domínguez (Phillies): Triceps, D15
- Símon Muzziotti (Phillies): Knee, D60
- Zachary Wheeler (Phillies): Forearm, D15
- Damon Jones (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
- Corey Knebel (Phillies): Lat, D60
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