• The Phillies are -120 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
• Phillies vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Phillies / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | NSPA

The Philadelphia Phillies (-120) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+100) on August 31, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 pm in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Phillies are against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are ATS.

Phillies vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

• Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola 5-10, 5.06 ERA
• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 7-1, 3.52 ERA

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Monday‘s MLB game with 55.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Phillies vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Luis Arraez has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 20 away games (+17.40 Units / 50% ROI)
• Justin Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.90 Units / 31% ROI)
• Brandon Marsh has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.90 Units / 33% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Walks Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.60 Units / 48% ROI)
• J.T. Realmuto has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+12.10 Units / 242% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jordan Lawlar has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+18.50 Units / 206% ROI)
• Gabriel Moreno has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+14.15 Units / 71% ROI)
• Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.50 Units / 33% ROI)
• Corbin Carroll has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.45 Units / 29% ROI)
• Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.50 Units / 36% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games (+10.75 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+10.45 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games (+8.90 Units / 56% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.10 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 away games (+5.75 Units / 10% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games (+11.40 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.50 Units / 71% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 50 games at home (+6.45 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+5.85 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 50 games at home (+5.05 Units / 9% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Diamondbacks vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Phillies are 15-49 (.234) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Phillies are 44-5 (.898) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are 7-54 (.115) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are 11-53 (.172) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Diamondbacks are 63-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are 10-48 (.172) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

The Diamondbacks were just 67-7 (.905) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Diamondbacks are just 112-25 (.818) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

Phillies hitters are slugging just .246 with two-strikes this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of 1.223 (944 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .297 (2,595 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have 121 extra-base hits out of 247 total hits (49%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends

The Diamondbacks are batting .278 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .443 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 25% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Phillies pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.7 MPH this season (3,118 balls in play) — best in MLB

Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have struck out just 17% of left-handed batters they faced this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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