- The Phillies are -130 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zachary Wheeler
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Davies
- Watch the game on BSAZ
The Philadelphia Phillies (-130) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+105) on Tuesday, June 13, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Phillies vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Phillies are 32-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 41-25 ATS.
Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +125 | O 9 -115 | -130 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -155 | U 9 -105 | +105 |
Phillies vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 66.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 50 games (+15.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 33 of his last 49 games (+15.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 34 of his last 50 games (+14.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- J.T. Realmuto has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+14.15 Units / 71% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 29 of his last 50 games (+13.75 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+11.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 38 games (+11.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- Ryne Nelson has hit the Strikeouts Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.95 Units / 56% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+10.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+10.35 Units / 33% ROI)
Diamondbacks vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Pavin Smith | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Diamondbacks vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Pavin Smith | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Diamondbacks vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Pavin Smith | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Diamondbacks vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zach Davies | 3.5 -130 | 3.5 +100 |
| Zack Wheeler | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -140 |
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 49 games (+7.40 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 65 games (+6.25 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.90 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.55 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+3.95 Units / 31% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 65 games (+18.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 63 games (+18.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 58 games (+13.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 58 games (+11.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 32% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 26-40 against the Run Line (-21.65 Units / -25.4% ROI).
- 32-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.85 Units / -11.89% ROI
- 27-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -9 Units / -12.43% ROI
- 33-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.6 Units / 4.94% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 41-25 against the Run Line (+16.8 Units / 20.63% ROI).
- 41-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.95 Units / 21.24% ROI
- 32-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.6 Units / -3.52% ROI
- 31-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.4 Units / -4.76% ROI
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.0 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (134 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (1,060/2,495) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (397/928) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 73.7 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season (232 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: 80.4
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of just 8% (31/371) against Zach Davies since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: 16% — first Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 35% of Zach Davies’ fastballs (504/1,447) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: 48% — first Percentile.
Zach Davies has located his fastball away 64% of the time (928/1,447) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 21% (288/1,351) against Zach Davies on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Phillies are 7-3 (.700) after a win as underdogs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .451.
The Phillies are just 2-23 (.080) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .215.
The Phillies are 15-86 (.149) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .091.
The Phillies are 20-87 (.187) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .126.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Diamondbacks are 8-2 (.800) after a road loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .461.
The Diamondbacks are just 99-9 (.917) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Diamondbacks are 29-2 (.935) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
The Diamondbacks are just 83-21 (.798) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .874.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Phillies hitters have drawn 47 walks in 793 PA’s (6%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Phillies have a winning percentage of just 36% on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
26% of Phillies hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .199 with two-strikes this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .170.
The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of 65% on the road this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .303 (2,465 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 27 double plays in 436 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 137 of 2,006 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies pitchers have an ERA of 3.36 (273.0 IP) at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Diamondbacks have won 55% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2021 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 66% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Cole Sulser (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
- Darick Hall (Phillies): Thumb, D60
- Rhys Hoskins (Phillies): ACL, D60
- Rafael Marchán (Phillies): Hand, D60
- Noah Song (Phillies): Back, D60
- Cristian Pache (Phillies): Knee, D10
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