- The Dodgers are -165 favorites vs the Phillies
- Phillies starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Anthony Gonsolin
- Watch the game on SportsNet LA
The Philadelphia Phillies (+135) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-165) on Monday, May 1, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Phillies vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Phillies are 15-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 13-16 ATS.
Phillies vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | +1.5 -145 | O 8.5 +100 | +135 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +120 | U 8.5 -120 | -165 |
Phillies vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Phillies vs Dodgers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bryson Stott has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.30 Units / 44% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.45 Units / 42% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+10.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 23 games (+10.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- J.T. Realmuto has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 away games (+9.30 Units / 87% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- David Peralta has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+10.75 Units / 65% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Trayce Thompson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.75 Units / 67% ROI)
Dodgers vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Dodgers vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Dodgers vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Dodgers vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Taijuan Walker | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -120 |
| Tony Gonsolin | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games (+6.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.70 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.10 Units / 35% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games at home (+4.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games (+3.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 43% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 13-16 against the Run Line (-7.85 Units / -19.55% ROI).
- 15-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.7 Units / -6.45% ROI
- 12-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.5 Units / -20.41% ROI
- 17-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +4 Units / 12.48% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 13-16 against the Run Line (-2.2 Units / -6.94% ROI).
- 16-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.75 Units / -12.08% ROI
- 16-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.9 Units / 9.05% ROI
- 12-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.3 Units / -16.64% ROI
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 57% of Taijuan Walker’s pitches in the zone (110/193) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 0 Percentile.
Taijuan Walker has a strike rate of just 56% (86/155) in two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Taijuan Walker has a strike rate of just 55% (303/553) on sliders since last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.
Taijuan Walker has a strike rate of just 53% (41/78) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .127 (38-for-300) against Tony Gonsolin’s non-fastballs since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .226 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .173 (81-for-469) against Tony Gonsolin since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 39% (60/156) against Tony Gonsolin on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Tony Gonsolin has not allowed a home run in any of the last 33.1 innings he’s appeared — Hunter Brown has the longest active streak at 54.1.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Phillies are just 0-3 (.000) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .367.
The Phillies are just 0-5 (.000) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Phillies are 13-70 (.157) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .087.
The Phillies are 17-69 (.198) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .120.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Dodgers are 6-52 (.103) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Dodgers are 66-30 (.688) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Dodgers are 96-7 (.932) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
The Dodgers are 124-53 (.701) at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .534.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
29% of Phillies hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .771 (2,093 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
The Phillies are batting .197 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .154.
The Phillies are batting .336 against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Dodgers are batting just .171 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Dodgers hitters have chased 22% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .764 (2,236 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .685.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .337 (5,326 PA’s) against RHP since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 9 of 204 batters (4%) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 27 of 449 batters (6%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .258 against Phillies pitchers with the shift since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .223.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 74 of 1,076 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 481 of 6,941 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Dodgers have won 52% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Dodgers have won 48% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Dodgers vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Michael Grove (Dodgers): Groin, D15
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Miguel Rojas (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Julio Martinez (Dodgers): Back, D10
- Taijuan Walker (Phillies): Forearm, Day-to-Day
- Ranger Suárez (Phillies): Elbow, D15
- Darick Hall (Phillies): Thumb, D10
- Rhys Hoskins (Phillies): ACL, D60
- Nicholas Nelson (Phillies): Hamstring, D15
- Andrew Bellatti (Phillies): Tricep, D15
- Rafael Marchán (Phillies): Hand, D60
- Noah Song (Phillies): Back, D15
- Cristian Pache (Phillies): Knee, D10
- Bryce Harper (Phillies): Elbow, D10
Bet now on Phillies vs Dodgers and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
