- The Phillies are -150 favorites vs the Giants
- Phillies vs Giants Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Phillies / Giants TV Channel: NSBA | NSPA | MLBN
The Philadelphia Phillies (-135) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (+115) on Monday, July 7, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Phillies are 53-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 40-51 ATS.
Phillies vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 7-2, 2.68 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Landen Roupp 6-5, 3.51 ERA
Phillies vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +135 | O 7.5 -115 | -135 |
| Giants | +1.5 -165 | U 7.5 -105 | +115 |
Phillies vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Monday‘s MLB game with 56.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Trea Turner has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+14.10 Units / 141% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Walks Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 away games (+7.45 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+17.85 Units / 77% ROI)
- Luis Matos has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.10 Units / 48% ROI)
- Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.10 Units / 41% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.05 Units / 26% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 40 away games (+13.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 39 of their last 72 games (+13.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 20 away games (+11.35 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 44 away games (+10.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 64 games (+9.25 Units / 9% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 46 games (+11.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 72 games (+11.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.45 Units / 61% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.45 Units / 51% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.15 Units / 52% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 46-43 against the Run Line (-0.2 Units / -0.18% ROI).
- 53-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.25 Units / 3.72% ROI
- 37-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.75 Units / -17.95% ROI
- 50-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.45 Units / 9.53% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 40-51 against the Run Line (-10.25 Units / -9.11% ROI).
- 49-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -6 Units / -4.7% ROI
- 41-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.35 Units / -9.37% ROI
- 46-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units / 0.35% ROI
Giants vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Rafael Devers (SF) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Giants vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Giants vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
Giants vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cristopher Sanchez (PHI) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -135 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cristopher Sanchez has a strikeout rate of 54% with two strikes this season — fourth highest among qualified SPs– 95th Percentile. He had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two strikes last season — sixth lowest among qualified SPs– 11th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 61% (136/221) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 58% (324/557) against Cristopher Sanchez in the 2024 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 96th Percentile.
Cristopher Sanchez has a in-zone of just 35% (150/433) in two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Landen Roupp has thrown his curveball 44% of the time (295/666) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total CB; League Avg: 13% — 100th Percentile.
Landen Roupp has thrown his curveball 40% of the time (932/2,336) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 99 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 99th Percentile.
Landen Roupp has thrown his curveball 45% of the time (501/1,103) against right-handed batters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 99 total CB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Landen Roupp has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (603/1,698) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 99 total CB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Phillies are 9-25 (.265) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .126.
The Phillies were 83-15 (.847) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Phillies are 53-37 (.589) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are 124-5 (.961) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .903.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Giants are 3-37 (.075) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .043.
The Giants are 17-3 (.850) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
The Giants are 7-34 (.171) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .091.
The Giants are 10-33 (.233) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .126.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have chased 21% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 16%.
The Phillies are batting .409 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Phillies hitters have chased 32% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .783 (1,726 PA’s) at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .277 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Giants hitters have struck out in 33% of their PA’s against LHP over the last 14 days — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants hitters are slugging just .438 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .580.
The Giants are batting just .217 with two outs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Phillies have allowed 3.45 runs per game (152/44) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.42.
Phillies pitchers have an ERA of 2.42 (104.0 IP) over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.15.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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