- The Giants are -150 favorites vs the Phillies
- Phillies vs Giants Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Phillies / Giants TV Channel: NSBA | NSPA
The Philadelphia Phillies (+125) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-150) on Tuesday, July 8, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Phillies are 53-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 41-51 ATS.
Phillies vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker 3-5, 3.63 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Robbie Ray 9-3, 2.71 ERA
Phillies vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | +1.5 -185 | O 8.5 -118 | +125 |
| Giants | -1.5 +150 | U 8.5 -102 | -150 |
Phillies vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 58.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Edmundo Sosa has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+9.90 Units / 165% ROI)
- Otto Kemp has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+5.95 Units / 46% ROI)
- Edmundo Sosa has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 5 away games (+5.05 Units / 101% ROI)
- Otto Kemp has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+5.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Johan Rojas has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games at home (+8.80 Units / 220% ROI)
- Robbie Ray has hit the Earned Runs Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Robbie Ray has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+5.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 63% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.90 Units / 46% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
Giants Best Bets Today:
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 46-44 against the Run Line (-0.2 Units / -0.18% ROI).
- 53-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.25 Units / 3.72% ROI
- 37-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.75 Units / -17.95% ROI
- 50-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.45 Units / 9.53% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 41-51 against the Run Line (-10.25 Units / -9.11% ROI).
- 50-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -6 Units / -4.7% ROI
- 41-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.35 Units / -9.37% ROI
- 46-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units / 0.35% ROI
Giants vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (SF) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Giants vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jung-hoo Lee (SF) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +170 |
| Rafael Devers (SF) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Giants vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Rafael Devers (SF) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Willy Adames (SF) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jung-hoo Lee (SF) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Giants vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Taijuan Walker (PHI) | 2.5 -145 | 2.5 +110 |
| Robbie Ray (SF) | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -130 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Taijuan Walker allowed a slugging percentage of .590 (200 Total Bases / 339 ABs) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .404 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (22/177) against Taijuan Walker on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 11% (4/35) against Taijuan Walker over the last 14 days — 3rd lowest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .067 (1-for-15) against Taijuan Walker over the last 14 days — tied for 4th best in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .236 — 97th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Robbie Ray has a first-pitch in-zone of just 41% (22/54) in his last two starts — 3rd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 56% — third Percentile.
Robbie Ray has a first-pitch in-zone of just 50% (215/431) this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 56% — fifth Percentile.
Robbie Ray has a strike rate of 69% (341/495) in two strike counts this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 90th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (58/93) against Robbie Ray’s curve and slider this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Phillies are 9-25 (.265) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .126.
The Phillies are just 5-11 (.312) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are just 12-24 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Phillies are 124-5 (.961) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .903.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Giants are 7-34 (.171) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .090.
The Giants are 10-1 (.909) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .801.
The Giants are 10-33 (.233) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .126.
The Giants are 17-3 (.850) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting .409 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .330 (2,424 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Phillies have scored first in 61% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Phillies are batting .274 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .274 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
The Giants are batting just .214 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Giants hitters are slugging just .347 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .385.
The Giants are batting just .217 with two outs since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 55% against Phillies pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 51% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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