- The Phillies are -130 favorites vs the Giants
- Phillies vs Giants Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Phillies / Giants TV Channel: NSBA | NSPA
The Philadelphia Phillies (-130) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (+110) on Wednesday, July 9, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 3:45pm EDT in San Francisco, CA, CA.
This season, the Phillies are 53-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 41-52 ATS.
Phillies vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Jesus Luzardo 7-5, 4.47 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Justin Verlander 0-6, 4.82 ERA
Phillies vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +135 | O 8.5 -110 | -130 |
| Giants | +1.5 -160 | U 8.5 -110 | +110 |
Phillies vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+9.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jesus Luzardo has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 away games (+6.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Singles Over in his last 4 games (+5.65 Units / 141% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Matos has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- Luis Matos has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+12.30 Units / 49% ROI)
- Luis Matos has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+8.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- Luis Matos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- Justin Verlander has hit the Earned Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+6.70 Units / 55% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
Giants Best Bets Today:
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 47-44 against the Run Line (-1.2 Units / -1.07% ROI).
- 53-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.85 Units / 2.7% ROI
- 37-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.75 Units / -18.77% ROI
- 51-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.45 Units / 10.41% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 41-52 against the Run Line (-9.25 Units / -8.11% ROI).
- 51-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.8 Units / -3.73% ROI
- 41-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.35 Units / -10.27% ROI
- 47-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.35 Units / 1.33% ROI
Giants vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Willy Adames (SF) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Giants vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Willy Adames (SF) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Giants vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Giants vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jesus Luzardo (PHI) | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +105 |
| Justin Verlander (SF) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -135 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jesus Luzardo has allowed a BABIP of .381 this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .280 — first Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .297 (89-for-300) against Jesus Luzardo this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .444 (16-for-36) against Jesus Luzardo’s low fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .264 — third Percentile.
39% of Jesus Luzardo’s strikeouts are on pitches in the zone this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 11th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .398 (33 GB hits out of 83 GBs) against Justin Verlander in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 0 Percentile.
Justin Verlander has spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 54% (87/160) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (27/80) against Justin Verlander in two-strike counts this season — 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 44% — eighth Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 29% (83/289) against Justin Verlander in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Phillies are 9-25 (.265) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .125.
The Phillies are just 5-12 (.294) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are 24-3 (.889) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Phillies are 39-2 (.951) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .874.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Giants are 17-3 (.850) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Giants are 8-34 (.190) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .090.
The Giants are 10-33 (.233) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .125.
The Giants are 4-37 (.098) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .043.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .289 (423 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .766 (2,983 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Phillies hitters have chased 32% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Phillies have scored first in 61% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .278 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Giants hitters have drawn walks in 10% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Giants are batting just .215 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Giants hitters are slugging just .444 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .579.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 35% when going through the lineup the third time in a game over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 20%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 51% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
More MLB Reading:
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